Win rate
10.0%
4 W / 36 L
Total PnL
$-13,924
realized $-14,805 · unrealized $881
Portfolio
$881
volume $380,969
Predictions
41
1.3/day · avg $9,292
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 50% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Weather 0% $-71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-148
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Down | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Esports 12% $-1,380
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Liquid | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | Team Liquid | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | TheMongolz | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-325 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | GenOne | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | loss |
| LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-217 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$256 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | Liquid | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | G2 Esports | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-254 | loss |
Geopolitics 9% $-3,253
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 27¢ | 16¢ | $-418 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 14¢ | 6¢ | $-147 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 14¢ | 7¢ | $-480 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-505 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,448 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | loss |
Other 7% $-9,955
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-290 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | No | 55¢ | 54¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 15¢ | 22¢ | +$193 | win |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Fnatic | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-396 | loss |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-183 | loss |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-198 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-458 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-3,968 | loss |
Recent Trades (40)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $66 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Down | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 14.2¢ | 7¢ | $-480 | $1,606 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $-505 | $551 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Fnatic | 38.3¢ | 0¢ | $-396 | $403 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Liquid | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | $94 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13? | Yes | 19.6¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $74 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 46.3¢ | 0¢ | $-183 | $186 | 11/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | Team Liquid | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $-172 | $176 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | TheMongolz | 36.3¢ | 0¢ | $-325 | $331 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs | GenOne | 48.1¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $178 | 10/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 60.3¢ | 7¢ | $-473 | $1,747 | 07/04/2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 30.1¢ | 0¢ | $-217 | $222 | 04/04/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 41.2¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $557 | 03/04/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 74.9¢ | 0¢ | $-198 | $200 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $2,282 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $-458 | $540 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $-485 | $531 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,448 | $1,639 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,622 | $3,521 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 24.4¢ | 0¢ | $-3,968 | $4,162 | 31/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$256 | $398 | 22/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | Liquid | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | $400 | 22/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | G2 Esports | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-254 | $254 | 22/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | JD Gaming | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $-406 | $405 | 17/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | $-33 | $414 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | No | 37.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,904 | $3,243 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 22¢ | +$193 | $400 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | No | 55.2¢ | 54¢ | $-37 | $703 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 56.1¢ | 100¢ | +$503 | $2,602 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 9.1¢ | 6¢ | $-6 | $190 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $250 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? | No | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | $152 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026? | No | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $147 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 6¢ | $-147 | $2,058 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 16¢ | $-418 | $1,636 | 31/12/2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $-290 | $290 | 01/01/2027 |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $110 | 01/01/2027 |