0xe617...f251

Crypto 96% +$18,357 $1,332,870 vol · 226 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$249	win
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	51¢	72¢	+$57	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	73¢	68¢	$-222	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 19?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$575	win
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?	No	94¢	100¢	+$64	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 18?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$555	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 18?	Down	99¢	100¢	+$82	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$215	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$151	win
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$56	win

Geopolitics 82% +$5,833 $615,006 vol · 78 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$393	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	60¢	30¢	$-1,487	loss
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	75¢	85¢	+$3	win
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$115	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$75	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	18¢	8¢	$-176	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	9¢	4¢	$-118	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$66	win
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$27	win

Politics 83% +$2,073 $72,059 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	No	81¢	88¢	+$9	win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	94¢	92¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$515	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	72¢	58¢	$-190	loss
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	84¢	88¢	+$70	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Trump say "Witch" this week? (April 12)	No	97¢	100¢	+$15	win

Tech 96% +$1,953 $326,658 vol · 140 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	95¢	94¢	$-4	loss
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?	Yes	92¢	90¢	$-21	loss
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 6 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 8?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on April 1?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?	No	82¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$99	win
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?	No	93¢	100¢	+$76	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$57	win
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$43	win

Economy 100% +$976 $43,710 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$9	win
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$605	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$350	win

Sports 67% +$199 $2,550 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$117	win
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$132	win
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on January 30?	Up	23¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Culture 100% +$6 $1,000 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$6	win

Mentions 70% $-2,534 $72,900 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-500	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	Yes	84¢	0¢	$-3,000	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-76	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-3,000	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$1,234	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?	Yes	96¢	0¢	$-250	loss
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$423	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?	No	65¢	100¢	+$322	win

Elections 83% $-4,658 $147,097 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1,949	win
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$190	win
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$146	win
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-6,963	loss

Other 81% $-5,171 $376,037 vol · 135 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	12¢	14¢	+$21	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	18¢	22¢	+$20	win
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	83¢	92¢	+$11	win
China coup attempt before 2027?	No	94¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$156	win
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	80¢	74¢	$-76	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	73¢	68¢	$-129	loss
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	83¢	98¢	+$878	win
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	90¢	90¢	$-5	loss
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	87¢	97¢	+$11	win

Weather 96% $-9,415 $393,458 vol · 359 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 25?	No	95¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on March 24?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 25?	No	90¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 25?	No	87¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 25?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 25?	No	92¢	0¢	$-774	loss
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on March 24?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or higher on March 24?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on March 24?	No	89¢	0¢	$-800	loss

Finance 92% $-43,976 $967,110 vol · 124 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$30	win
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	No	89¢	81¢	$-8	loss
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	86¢	93¢	+$186	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	95¢	100¢	+$473	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$340	win
Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$132	win
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$28	win