Win rate
36.1%
370 W / 654 L
Total PnL
$155,907
realized $129,911 · unrealized $25,995
Portfolio
$25,995
volume $47,873,178
Predictions
1,764
40.0/day · avg $27,139
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 36% +$235,167
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-175 | loss |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 50¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-486 | loss |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 50¢ | 58¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 50¢ | 70¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 17¢ | $-50,509 | loss |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 50¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Yes | 37¢ | 34¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 50¢ | 46¢ | $-29,359 | loss |
Crypto 37% +$18,522
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 80¢ | 51¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$1,280 | win |
| Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3PM ET | Up | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$190 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-1,178 | loss |
| Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,174 | loss |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 53% +$9,248
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 50¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 50¢ | 43¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50¢ | 40¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 52¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 21¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 36% +$2,733
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 62¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-231 | loss |
| Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 50¢ | 62¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$170 | win |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 38% +$2,095
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 32¢ | $-379 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 68¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,112 | loss |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 4¢ | +$697 | win |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | +$658 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$53 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
Culture 37% +$1,834
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | No | 32¢ | 46¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Ye be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 2¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | win |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Monster Hunter Wilds win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Tech 43% +$258
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | No | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 25¢ | 72¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Economy 25% +$159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-994 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-260 | loss |
Weather 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $-11 | loss |
Finance 0% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50¢ | 6¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50¢ | 94¢ | $-12 | loss |
Mentions 50% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 32% $-35,037
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 36¢ | $-356 | loss |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 34¢ | +$152 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | No | 68¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 50¢ | 16¢ | $-581 | loss |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 50¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$5,723 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$4,062 | $704 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$3,800 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$3,548 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,516 | $50,640 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$2,924 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$2,074 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1,543 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1,219 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1,194 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$601 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | +$250 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42,370 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,500 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $12,701 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $683 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-211 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-27,362 | $703 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ethan Fang win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-551 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Pongsapak Laopakdee win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-551 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tom McKibbin win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-545 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Naoyuki Kataoka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-544 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-491 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-505 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-472 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-477 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-463 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-478 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-413 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-446 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-395 | $546 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tiger Woods win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-409 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-358 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-461 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-461 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-438 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-503 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-328 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-413 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-441 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-385 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-372 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-491 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-398 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-232 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-366 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-2,396 | $3,541 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | $557 | 13/04/2026 |