Win rate
61.4%
553 W / 348 L
Total PnL
$1,140
realized $-947 · unrealized $2,087
Portfolio
$2,087
volume $109,905
Predictions
2,933
83.5/day · avg $37
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/03/2023 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 61% +$1,185
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting? | No | 84¢ | 54¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | No | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? | No | 84¢ | 32¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 76¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom | Li Tu | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$1 | win |
| Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun | Fajing Sun | 66¢ | 66¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic | Andrey Rublev | 60¢ | 61¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 87% +$157
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn | Cameron Norrie | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn | Ethan Quinn | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | Ethan Quinn | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 8? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Solana Sierra vs Akasha Urhobo | Akasha Urhobo | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 30-April 5? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Culture 62% +$103
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | Joao Lucas Da Silva | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Murkel Dellien | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will "Bully - Kanye West" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
Finance 75% +$37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Marat Sharipov | Yunchaokete Bu | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 82¢ | 80¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 100% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre end in a draw? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Weather 71% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on March 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Geopolitics 71% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 86¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30? | No | 89¢ | 84¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 83¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 62¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026? | No | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | win |
Politics 67% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 85¢ | 57¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Lloyd Harris | Dusan Lajovic | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Esports 62% $-153
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 68¢ | 68¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Inner Circle | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TDK vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | TDK | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Team Lynx | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Wave Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage | Spirit Academy | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage | Cloud Rising | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Inner Circle | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Heroic | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Sports 54% $-413
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Antonia Ruzic vs Liudmila Samsonova | Liudmila Samsonova | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Viktoriya Tomova | Viktoriya Tomova | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Gabriela Knutson vs Carole Monnet | Carole Monnet | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona Diamondbacks | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Miami Marlins | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 50.3¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Zsombor Piros | Zsombor Piros | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Bellucci | Mattia Bellucci | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Justin Boulais | Fajing Sun | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Ilia Simakin | Pavel Kotov | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Luca Van Assche | Raphael Collignon | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5 | Over | 51.3¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Guido Justo vs Gustavo Heide | Gustavo Heide | 75.4¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Inner Circle | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Solary | 67.1¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea | Mirra Andreeva | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TDK vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | TDK | 78.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Daniel Dutra da Silva | Yibing Wu | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Kraken | 34.4¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillas | Juan Pablo Varillas | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rodez Aveyron Football vs. Amiens SC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline | Hornets | 56.0¢ | 56¢ | +$0 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw? | No | 74.0¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5 | Under | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? | No | 94.0¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $88 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Le Mans FC vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 2.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | Monaco | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| BC Dubai vs. Valencia | Valencia | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Annecy: O/U 1.5 | Over | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-04-17? | No | 63.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: 1H Moneyline | Clippers | 61.4¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $156 | 16/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | Team Lynx | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $70 | 16/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | Guido Justo | 63.9¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch | Hugo Dellien | 63.8¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| Monza: Arthur Fery vs Valentin Royer | Valentin Royer | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 59.3¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga end in a draw? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $47 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Wave Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage | Spirit Academy | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $43 | 16/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid vs. KK Crvena Zvezda | Real Madrid | 73.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahce | Fenerbahce | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan Mayo | Luka Pavlovic | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Bor Artnak vs Rodrigo Pacheco | Rodrigo Pacheco | 81.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bologna | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |