Flnx

Geopolitics 61% +$3,481 $19,144 vol · 120 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	55¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	35¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$8	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	29¢	100¢	+$237	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	32¢	76¢	$-4	loss
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	59¢	18¢	$-147	loss
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	23¢	0¢	+$110	win
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$105	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	46¢	0¢	+$63	win

Culture 42% +$2,217 $27,042 vol · 192 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?	Yes	8¢	7¢	$-7	loss
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?	No	31¢	18¢	$-55	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-148	loss
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-130	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-385	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-94	loss

Politics 58% +$2,044 $28,402 vol · 373 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	70¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	55¢	99¢	+$89	win
Will Leavitt say "Historic" or "Historical" during the next White House press briefing?	No	49¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Will Leavitt say "TSA" during the next White House press briefing?	No	99¢	100¢	$-56	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	28¢	28¢	+$0	—

Economy 33% +$256 $381 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-5	loss

Mentions 50% +$79 $687 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 10, 2026?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-60	loss

Esports 0% $-13 $75 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)	Vitality	73¢	100¢	$-13	loss

Finance 25% $-223 $514 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	31¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?	No	25¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Box (BOX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	31¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	15¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?	No	51¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Walmart say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?	No	71¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	53¢	0¢	$-4	loss

Tech 30% $-369 $3,493 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	47¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during statement on April 9?	No	42¢	100¢	+$63	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	$-29	loss
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	No	5¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?	No	47¢	0¢	$-38	loss
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will Google say "Youtube Shorts" during earnings call?	Yes	84¢	0¢	$-115	loss
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	43¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Jensen Huang say "Gemini" or "Perplexity" 4+ times during NVIDIA keynote?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-67	loss

Crypto 26% $-543 $1,628 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	36¢	100¢	+$64	win
ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	45¢	0¢	$-9	loss
ETHGAS FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	65¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?	Yes	49¢	100¢	$-38	loss
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?	No	44¢	0¢	$-250	loss
Will Melania say "Foster" or "Fostering" 7+ times during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?	No	45¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?	No	46¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?	No	53¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?	No	58¢	100¢	+$38	win

Elections 39% $-671 $9,579 vol · 79 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	10¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	82¢	92¢	$-5	loss
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	40¢	1¢	+$28	win
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	76¢	96¢	+$54	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-27	loss

Other 49% $-887 $45,131 vol · 502 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	17¢	0¢	+$5	win
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	75¢	100¢	+$55	win
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	No	75¢	100¢	+$66	win
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	30¢	100¢	+$70	win
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	57¢	100¢	+$47	win
Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?	No	87¢	100¢	+$27	win
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	92¢	100¢	+$31	win
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	35¢	100¢	+$20	win
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	28¢	0¢	$-92	loss

Sports 32% $-908 $2,972 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	Toronto KOI	35¢	100¢	+$56	win
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	FaZe Vegas	20¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	Toronto KOI	37¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	Paris Gentle Mates	44¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	Miami Heretics	34¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	Miami Heretics	50¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	Los Angeles Thieves	55¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	Riyadh Falcons	46¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$17	win