Win rate
97.3%
364 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$6,082
realized $-6,224 · unrealized $12,306
Portfolio
$12,306
volume $795,870
Predictions
451
9.9/day · avg $1,765
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/03/2023 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 99% +$3,082
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Katana FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| P2P FDV above $80M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-1,085 | loss |
| OneFootball FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Perle Labs FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$2,064
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$183 | win |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$163 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
Tech 89% +$619
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | loss |
| Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
Crypto 99% +$201
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| ETHGAS FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Weather 95% +$95
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 100% +$40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Mentions 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $389 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $71 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $6,374 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,162 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $548 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $540 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $513 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $504 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $266 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $236 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $182 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on April 18? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $156 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $137 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $51 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or higher on April 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $48 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on April 18? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $470 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,224 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $316 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $401 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $798 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $341 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $312 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $103 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $275 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $474 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $108 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $194 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $378 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $161 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $262 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $78 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $205 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $178 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $170 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $82 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $162 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $111 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |