Win rate
38.3%
49 W / 79 L
Total PnL
$-16
realized $-695 · unrealized $679
Portfolio
$679
volume $272,297
Predictions
289
29.5/day · avg $942
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 47% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 75% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Top Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | FUT Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner | Nigma Galaxy | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner | G2 Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner | PARIVISION | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Finance 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Mentions 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 67% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 43% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 21% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 39% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Athletics vs. New York Mets | Athletics | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Angels | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Raptors | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | Rajasthan Royals | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $160 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Angels | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $5,650 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $439 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $89 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $211 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $483 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $94 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) | G2 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $78 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $711 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $968 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $642 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $302 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $299 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $112 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $312 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $191 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $321 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $266 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $123 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $225 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $170 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $120 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $56 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner | GIANTX | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $89 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $96 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |