Win rate
89.1%
1167 W / 143 L
Total PnL
$-30,843
realized $-36,973 · unrealized $6,129
Portfolio
$6,129
volume $1,178,359
Predictions
2,136
24.9/day · avg $552
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 96% +$5,999
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | FaZe | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-350 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | MOUZ | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner | LNG Esports | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner | GAM Esports | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season | Team Secret Whales | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$615 | win |
| LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner | GAM Esports | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | win |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | Top Esports | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| LoL: S2G Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner | S2G Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Crashers - Map 2 Winner | Procyon Gaming | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$3,290 | win |
Elections 88% +$75
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Tech 100% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 on February 9? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 5? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
Mentions 85% $-43
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
Politics 70% $-86
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 88¢ | 1¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | win |
Crypto 33% $-128
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | No | 97¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Weather 92% $-1,252
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 45¢ | 20¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 97¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 77% $-9,987
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Other 83% $-12,096
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 68¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Kiwoom DRX Challengers | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-1,021 | loss |
| Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in March? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 66% $-13,990
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo record the most medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-328 | loss |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$256 | win |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | win |
| Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | win |
| Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs | T1 Academy | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$1,247 | win |
| Wizards vs. Pistons | Wizards | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$4,786 | win |
| Hornets vs. Rockets | Hornets | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$2,618 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $500 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 19? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $676 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 19? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $609 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on April 19? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $524 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 19? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $487 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 19? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $318 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on April 19? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $299 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 19? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $255 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on April 19? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $221 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 19? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $209 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 19? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $117 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on April 19? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $116 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 19? | No | 99.0¢ | 97¢ | $-2 | $88 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 19? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $82 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on April 19? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $55 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 19? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $27 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on April 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $332 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $303 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $522 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $371 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $399 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 18? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $229 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $220 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on April 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $198 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $289 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $299 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 18? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $181 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $197 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $412 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 18? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $111 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 53°F or below on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $149 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on April 18? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $108 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $127 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $94 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $104 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $56 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 18? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $1,334 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on April 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $416 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $174 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $139 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or higher on April 18? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $93 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $256 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $447 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on April 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $399 | 17/04/2026 |