Win rate
78.4%
1380 W / 381 L
Total PnL
$14,185
realized $12,065 · unrealized $2,121
Portfolio
$2,121
volume $2,279,590
Predictions
1,759
3.2/day · avg $1,296
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/08/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 70% +$9,534
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Other 88% +$1,350
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | Yes | 75¢ | 5¢ | +$20 | win |
| Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 88¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will "Mickey Mouse" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13) | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "Chocolate" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Matrix" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Sauna" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Cookie" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | win |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
Politics 85% +$1,201
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump post "Hezbollah" this week on Truth Social? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump post "Artemis" or "Orion" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump post "Peter" or "Magyar" on Truth Social this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | Yes | 98¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump post "Democrat Shutdown" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 94% +$332
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Military" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Israel" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| Will "Israel" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will "Israel" be said on the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will "Russia" be said on the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will "Military" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15) | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8) | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will JD Vance say "Nuclear" in Wisconsin on Thursday? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Rutte say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Crypto 90% +$286
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Taylor Swift say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Late Show on December 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Taylor Swift say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Tonight Show on October 6? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in NC on September 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Culture 87% +$269
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 72¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will "Oscar" or "Oscars" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "Grammy" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Sports 70% +$163
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Olympic" or "Olympics" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Olympic" or "Olympics" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will "Olympic" or "Olympics" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Teddy Swims perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will "La Jumpa" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders | Seahawks | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Patriots vs. Bills | Bills | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
Finance 100% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Pam" or "Bondi" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Elections 68% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Paper ballot" this week? (February 22) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Rigged Election" this week? (February 15) | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 1) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Kamala say "Putin" in her speech after the election is called? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Economy 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Tech 0% $-95
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during CNN town hall on October 15? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $86 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $372 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $92 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | +$59 | $121 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" on Truth Social this week? | No | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $312 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week? | No | 29.5¢ | 0¢ | +$21 | $33 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "War" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,288 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Keir" or "Starmer" on Truth Social this week? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $199 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Insurance" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $570 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Algorithm" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $546 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Instagram" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $216 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,292 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $278 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Military" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $234 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Matrix" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $491 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Dude" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $659 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Peter" or "Magyar" on Truth Social this week? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $131 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Table" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $380 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Chocolate" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $215 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Artemis" or "Orion" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | Yes | 97.7¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $152 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,092 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $165 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Terrorist" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $1,165 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will "Iran" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $1,412 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will "Israel" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $706 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $611 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Easter Egg" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 12.5¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $39 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $316 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will "Crack" or "Cocaine" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $267 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will "Matrix" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $501 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Bully of the Middle East" on Truth Social this week? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $396 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will "Cookie" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $500 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will "Simulation" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $405 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will "Sauna" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $175 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Democrat Shutdown" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $321 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $272 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Keir / Starmer" on Truth Social this week? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $239 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Movie Star" on Truth Social this week? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $229 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $392 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $496 | 01/04/2026 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | $4,434 | 31/03/2026 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $3,705 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | +$46 | $229 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $407 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | $53 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $1,390 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $838 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Spain" on Truth Social this week? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $1,498 | 29/03/2026 |