BossLovesTrump

Geopolitics 66% +$1,047 $25,203 vol · 170 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	78¢	83¢	+$2	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	57¢	84¢	+$2	win
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	15¢	6¢	$-11	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	19¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	31¢	59¢	+$39	win
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	41¢	20¢	$-25	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	28¢	22¢	$-5	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	34¢	16¢	$-10	loss
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	45¢	73¢	+$49	win
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?	Yes	27¢	8¢	$-7	loss

Politics 79% +$51 $12,488 vol · 63 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	81¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	74¢	71¢	$-2	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	65¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	18¢	12¢	+$15	win
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?	No	35¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	No	23¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$101	win
Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in December?	No	88¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$42	win

Tech 80% +$38 $721 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will ChatGPT be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win

Economy 100% +$33 $1,436 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$22	win

Esports 100% +$22 $53 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	Vitality	67¢	100¢	+$22	win

Elections 33% $-1 $72 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	52¢	55¢	+$1	win
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	53¢	52¢	$-0	loss
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	75¢	96¢	$-2	loss

Weather 75% $-10 $222 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	93¢	96¢	+$1	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?	No	80¢	100¢	+$6	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?	No	84¢	100¢	+$1	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-18	loss

Sports 73% $-100 $2,378 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	44¢	67¢	+$8	win
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?	No	85¢	100¢	+$9	win
Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	81¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in November?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Lakers vs. 76ers	Lakers	84¢	100¢	+$5	win
Thunder vs. Jazz	Thunder	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Nuggets vs. Pacers	Nuggets	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Thunder vs. Warriors	Thunder	87¢	100¢	+$5	win
Clippers vs. Lakers	Lakers	82¢	100¢	+$5	win

Other 75% $-215 $11,236 vol · 76 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	58¢	76¢	+$5	win
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	19¢	40¢	+$42	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	32¢	52¢	+$2	win
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	20¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	65¢	0¢	$-59	loss
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5	Under	53¢	0¢	+$3	win
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?	No	66¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?	No	57¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?	No	82¢	100¢	+$7	win

Culture 60% $-452 $2,116 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	69¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	No	55¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-328	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 62% $-506 $11,900 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?	Down	92¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?	Down	93¢	100¢	+$19	win
Ethereum Up or Down on October 17?	Down	93¢	100¢	$-76	loss
Ethereum Up or Down on October 14?	Down	93¢	100¢	+$32	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 14?	Down	93¢	100¢	+$28	win
Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?	Up	93¢	100¢	$-63	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?	Up	93¢	100¢	$-68	loss
Ethereum Up or Down on October 10?	Down	93¢	100¢	+$38	win
Ethereum Up or Down on October 9?	Down	93¢	100¢	$-75	loss