winniepook

Weather 70% +$196 $3,847 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 30?	No	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?	Yes	79¢	100¢	$-66	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?	No	80¢	100¢	+$149	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 18?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?	No	79¢	100¢	+$103	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?	No	66¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Politics 78% +$145 $8,314 vol · 104 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	17¢	8¢	$-58	loss
Will Leavitt say "Peace Deal" during the next White House press briefing?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Leavitt say "Epic Fury" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during the next White House press briefing?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump name "Bush" in April?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump dance during TPUSA event on April 17?	Yes	95¢	98¢	+$7	win
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	98¢	97¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump say "Common sense" during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	99¢	86¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump say "Macron" or "France" during events with Rutte?	No	89¢	100¢	+$4	win

Crypto 100% +$33 $200 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	No	21¢	0¢	+$31	win
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Tech 100% +$21 $210 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next video?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" 3+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	84¢	100¢	+$19	win

Culture 100% +$6 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$6	win

Elections 100% +$1 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance say "Election" 4+ times during meetings with Orbán?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Finance 0% $-3 $96 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	77¢	78¢	$-3	loss

Geopolitics 70% $-106 $751 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	45¢	30¢	$-70	loss
Will Melania say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during statement on April 9?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will JD Vance say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 6+ times during meetings with Orbán?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	81¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will JD Vance say "Nuclear" during Michigan visit?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Iran record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?	No	41¢	0¢	$-4	loss

Sports 10% $-498 $1,031 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	4¢	3¢	$-10	loss
Will Melania say "Soccer" during statement on April 9?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Iceland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-150	loss

Other 82% $-648 $5,458 vol · 98 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-135	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	22¢	16¢	+$1	win
Will Karoline Leavitt be 25 or more minutes late to the next press briefing?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Karoline Leavitt be between 15 and 20 minutes late to the next press briefing?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will MrBeast say "Ronaldo" during his next video?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will MrBeast say "Raise" or "Raised" during his next video?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Melania say "Empower" or "Empowering" during statement on April 9?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will JD Vance say "Oil" 2+ times during meetings with Orbán?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win