WordleAddict

Other 55% +$244,088 $7,773,984 vol · 856 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5,951	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	51¢	56¢	+$3	win
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$1,733	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	+$219	win
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Yes	65¢	56¢	$-6	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	39¢	28¢	$-3,827	loss
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	No	27¢	14¢	$-271	loss
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Caty McNally vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	39¢	0¢	$-7,866	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	70¢	100¢	+$16,310	win
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?	No	86¢	100¢	+$410	win

Geopolitics 68% +$216,018 $6,104,427 vol · 177 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$3,588	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$2,300	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	26¢	0¢	+$886	win
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$228	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	74¢	0¢	+$40	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	71¢	94¢	+$7,500	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	36¢	60¢	+$986	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	71¢	72¢	+$55	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	32¢	0¢	+$283	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-3,431	loss

Politics 55% +$160,929 $5,278,711 vol · 511 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	73¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	27¢	+$0	—
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	81¢	93¢	+$7,930	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4,169	win
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$47	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	58¢	60¢	+$358	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-1,800	loss
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?	No	76¢	100¢	+$240	win
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	65¢	0¢	$-909	loss
Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	15¢	0¢	$-1,103	loss

Culture 49% +$136,861 $1,237,281 vol · 256 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	11¢	28¢	+$1,353	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$183	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	No	80¢	100¢	$-207	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-1,855	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-2,440	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	No	93¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-268	loss
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	No	53¢	0¢	+$134	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$2,806	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	38¢	0¢	$-4,819	loss

Economy 69% +$37,485 $1,559,171 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	94¢	100¢	+$5,285	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$1,476	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$739	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2,000	win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1,060	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$1,400	win
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1,169	win
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1,194	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-72,583	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—

Mentions 42% +$18,688 $58,238 vol · 121 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	No	0¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$20,100	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-348	loss
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Kanye tweet 100-199 times February 20-28?	No	14¢	0¢	$-81	loss
Will Ansem tweet again before SOL all time high?	No	9¢	0¢	+$86	win
Will Ansem tweet again before SOL all time high?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-112	loss
Will Elon tweet 100+ times?	No	93¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Elon post 90-99 times?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Elon post 50-59 times?	No	80¢	0¢	$-299	loss

Esports 53% +$3,920 $134,160 vol · 71 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A	FURIA	57¢	100¢	+$353	win
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3)	FaZe	24¢	0¢	$-481	loss
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. KT Rolster	KT Rolster	50¢	100¢	+$459	win
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. KT Rolster	Gen.G	2¢	0¢	+$327	win
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Weibo Gaming	Weibo Gaming	29¢	100¢	+$659	win
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Weibo Gaming	Anyones Legend	65¢	0¢	$-89	loss
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. Dplus KIA	OKSavingsBank	5¢	0¢	$-701	loss
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. BNK FEARX	Nongshim	18¢	0¢	$-1,053	loss
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. BNK FEARX	Dplus KIA	20¢	0¢	$-1,687	loss
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. OKSavingsBank BRION	Nongshim	97¢	100¢	+$238	win

Finance 38% +$3,071 $21,425 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	No	36¢	0¢	+$1,811	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$1,299	win
Circle IPO in 2025?	No	50¢	0¢	+$69	win
Will Factset Research (FDS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	No	78¢	100¢	+$26	win
Another actor announced as next James Bond actor?	No	28¢	0¢	$-126	loss
Will Reddit IPO at a less than $2.5b valuation?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-114	loss
Will Reddit IPO at between $5b-7.5b valuation?	No	52¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Kevin Spacey declare bankruptcy?	No	99¢	100¢	$-175	loss
Will FTX payouts start in Q2 2024?	No	85¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will FTX payouts start in Q1 2024?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-79	loss

Weather 33% +$2,094 $214,805 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-20,660	loss
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in January 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will there be more than 14 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$64	win
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?	Yes	26¢	100¢	$-64	loss
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?	No	83¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of between 1.09°C and 1.15°C?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of less than 1.09°C?	No	95¢	100¢	$-103	loss
Will May 2024 show an increase between 1.10°C-1.16°C	Yes	88¢	100¢	$-171	loss
Will May 2024 show an increase greater than 1.30C?	No	98¢	100¢	$-164	loss

Tech 61% $-3,622 $708,959 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-1,170	loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $155?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$452	win
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$400	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	79¢	100¢	$-3,698	loss
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$450	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?	No	81¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$392	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$278	win
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?	No	80¢	100¢	$-196	loss

Sports 53% $-63,021 $1,395,629 vol · 364 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Warriors vs. Suns	Suns	57¢	100¢	+$85	win
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	55¢	0¢	$-890	loss
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	41¢	0¢	$-5,953	loss
Stars vs. Flyers	Flyers	39¢	100¢	+$15,250	win
UFC Fight Night: Luana Carolina vs. Melissa Mullins (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Luana Carolina	53¢	50¢	$-150	loss
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Piera Rodriguez	57¢	100¢	+$4,300	win
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Vitor Petrino	67¢	100¢	+$3,300	win
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand	New Zealand	13¢	0¢	$-412	loss
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)	Bruno Silva	39¢	0¢	$-1,132	loss
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Luan Lacerda	45¢	0¢	$-5,384	loss

Elections 40% $-76,270 $11,492,445 vol · 452 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	$-190,353	loss
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$190,353	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	63¢	100¢	$-611	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	54¢	90¢	+$1,300	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$4,621	win
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-1,197	loss
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	74¢	100¢	+$422	win
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	No	46¢	0¢	$-23,300	loss
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-102,291	loss
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-13,842	loss

Crypto 53% $-83,687 $1,251,232 vol · 134 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	No	83¢	100¢	+$2,612	win
Big Game: Coin Toss	Tails	16¢	0¢	$-1,141	loss
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-17,161	loss
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	13¢	0¢	+$2,939	win
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$109	win
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?	No	88¢	100¢	$-292	loss
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?	No	22¢	0¢	+$29	win
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?	No	56¢	0¢	$-4,067	loss
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$1,074	win
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$220	win