pmaker

Politics 14% +$1 $1,162 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6¢	6¢	+$10	win
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	98¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-1	loss
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10¢	10¢	$-7	loss
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	52¢	52¢	+$0	—

Economy 0% $-1 $116 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	29¢	26¢	$-1	loss

Finance 50% $-3 $211 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Ramp IPO before 2027?	No	85¢	86¢	$-8	loss
Brex IPO before 2027?	Yes	4¢	5¢	+$5	win

Tech 0% $-8 $39 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	35¢	30¢	$-8	loss

Elections 25% $-14 $497 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	97¢	97¢	$-1	loss
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	22¢	22¢	$-17	loss
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	50¢	89¢	+$22	win
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	28¢	4¢	$-19	loss

Crypto 25% $-20 $303 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	23¢	22¢	$-6	loss
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	49¢	49¢	+$-0	—
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-2	loss

Other 33% $-42 $1,341 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	39¢	45¢	$-1	loss
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	28¢	30¢	$-10	loss
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	40¢	44¢	+$2	win
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	93¢	93¢	$-0	loss
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26¢	26¢	$-6	loss
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	8¢	7¢	$-9	loss
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	25¢	42¢	$-10	loss
GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	2¢	2¢	$-12	loss
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	33¢	32¢	+$16	win
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	85¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 40% $-59 $838 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	8¢	12¢	+$6	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	44¢	22¢	+$2	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	51¢	78¢	$-1	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	28¢	30¢	$-15	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	9¢	9¢	+$1	win
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	48¢	46¢	+$0	win
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	52¢	50¢	$-1	loss
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	4¢	5¢	$-0	loss
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	5¢	3¢	$-11	loss
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	5¢	4¢	$-41	loss

Sports 18% $-163 $1,096 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	Yes	8¢	5¢	$-11	loss
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	6¢	5¢	+$1	win
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	22¢	40¢	$-14	loss
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	No	28¢	58¢	$-36	loss