0xE1D415E4018407E8Ca414a07188BC94c6063A31e-1770257784056

Politics 89% +$392 $3,041 vol · 79 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	72¢	70¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	31¢	1¢	+$21	win
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump say "Melania" this week? (April 19)	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump say "China" during dinner with Dutch royals?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 12)	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Think about" during events with Rutte?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Weather 63% +$370 $12,726 vol · 217 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?	Yes	87¢	90¢	+$14	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$53	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?	No	93¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on April 15?	No	90¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on April 15?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?	Yes	22¢	100¢	+$75	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 14?	No	83¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 13?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win

Tech 100% +$105 $27 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?	Yes	19¢	100¢	+$105	win

Other 100% +$73 $551 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Vance say "Somali" or "Somalian" during his Rocky Mount visit?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?	No	84¢	100¢	+$4	win

Sports 100% +$2 $94 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the announcers say "UFC History" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 0% $-5 $29 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	56¢	48¢	$-5	loss

Geopolitics 83% $-17 $272 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Mark Rutte say "International Law" during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	19¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3	win

Culture 57% $-26 $265 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?	No	54¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	91¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	31¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	27¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	51¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 28% $-31 $2,489 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	59¢	42¢	$-9	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	Yes	9¢	100¢	+$242	win
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$35	win
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	67¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?	No	66¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?	No	62¢	100¢	+$41	win

Crypto 42% $-221 $2,512 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	34¢	100¢	+$71	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	49¢	100¢	+$34	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	38¢	100¢	+$32	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	59¢	100¢	+$25	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	23¢	0¢	+$14	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	28¢	0¢	+$14	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	26¢	0¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	31¢	0¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	12¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	52¢	0¢	$-12	loss