Win rate
86.6%
219 W / 34 L
Total PnL
$-555
realized $-6,226 · unrealized $5,670
Portfolio
$5,670
volume $172,000
Predictions
282
5.0/day · avg $610
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/07/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 89% +$2,300
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
| Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | No | 82¢ | 77¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? | Yes | 90¢ | 89¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 86¢ | 60¢ | $-833 | loss |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? | Yes | 81¢ | 78¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Elections 67% +$799
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-486 | loss |
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,227 | win |
Politics 75% +$215
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Trump say "Azerbaijan" during C5+1 Summit on November 6? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Damn" or "Shit" or "Fuck" during Malaysia events on October 26? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Culture 100% +$91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Tech 67% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
Weather 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Crypto 33% $-54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | No | 98¢ | 95¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first? | 120k | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
Sports 85% $-119
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | Washington Nationals | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Spread: Warriors (-10.5) | Kings | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz | Jazz | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Warriors vs. Kings | Warriors | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5 | Under | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Geopolitics 88% $-3,941
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$2 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US downs another Iranian drone by February 28? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-4,200 | loss |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot | Carlos Alcaraz | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $1,300 | 18/04/2026 |
| Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Polina Kudermetova vs Lisa Pigato | Lisa Pigato | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $60 | 18/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $250 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5) | Manchester United FC | 90.0¢ | 90¢ | $-8 | $1,500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5) | Melbourne City FC | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $200 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5) | Kyōto Sanga FC | 87.2¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 18/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $5,600 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik | Carlos Alcaraz | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-1.5) | CA Unión | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-2.5) | Newcastle United Jets FC | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $300 | 17/04/2026 |
| CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5 | Under | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-2.5) | CA Unión | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $1,300 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverry | Carlos Alcaraz | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $1,200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | Warriors | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $1,000 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $250 | 16/04/2026 |
| Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5 | Under | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5 | Under | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5 | Under | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | Real Madrid CF | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Baez | Carlos Alcaraz | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | FC Barcelona | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $300 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $500 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknech | Joao Fonseca | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to Score | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) | Washington Nationals | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $1,200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Giles Hussey | Yi Zhou | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5) | SS Lazio | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) | Aston Villa FC | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | $2,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5) | US Sassuolo Calcio | 88.8¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $500 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $250 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5) | US Sassuolo Calcio | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Racing Club (-1.5) | CA River Plate | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 88.1¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) | Manchester City FC | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5) | Manchester City FC | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $300 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5) | FC Dallas | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5) | Aston Villa FC | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Racing Club (-2.5) | CA River Plate | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5 | Under | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5) | Minnesota United FC | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5 | Under | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 12/04/2026 |