Win rate
67.3%
247 W / 120 L
Total PnL
$-11
realized $-1,482 · unrealized $1,471
Portfolio
$1,471
volume $601,693
Predictions
736
24.5/day · avg $818
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 88% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Mentions 93% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 75% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 80% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 61% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 55% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Zeynep Sonmez | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Angels | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 20? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner | MOUZ | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner | Team Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner | LNG Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 2 Winner | B8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner | Inner Circle Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner | TheMongolz | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) | Top Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 23? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 41% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 29% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 79% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $149 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Angels | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,453 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $5,823 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $351 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $480 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $894 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,873 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $70 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $98 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) | G2 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $145 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $952 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $151 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $632 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,081 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $154 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $205 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $351 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $328 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,962 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $843 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $716 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $197 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $148 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $154 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $94 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $362 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $81 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $149 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $104 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $94 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $321 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $160 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor | Gael Monfils | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $106 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $459 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |