Win rate
38.8%
562 W / 888 L
Total PnL
$2,418
realized $-54,907 · unrealized $57,325
Portfolio
$57,325
volume $1,593,650
Predictions
4,155
36.3/day · avg $384
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Economy 37% +$807
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 33¢ | 6¢ | $-125 | loss |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 68¢ | 3¢ | $-219 | loss |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$2,021 | win |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-673 | loss |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-765 | loss |
| Will India’s Unemployment Rate increase in February? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
Culture 34% +$419
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$131 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-297 | loss |
| Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-187 | loss |
Mentions 21% +$214
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$412 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-703 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-129 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-543 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-3,279 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 49% +$91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | win |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1) - Toss Match Double Draw | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
Finance 29% +$60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 22¢ | 8¢ | $-181 | loss |
| Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$7 | win |
Politics 23% +$53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-193 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-478 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-243 | loss |
Tech 60% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 68¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs. FK Kudrivka end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 28¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
Crypto 88% $-35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 5? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 31? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | loss |
Geopolitics 32% $-186
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 7¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? | Yes | 22¢ | 41¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting? | Yes | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-4,781 | loss |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will Iran strike eight countries in March? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-336 | loss |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | loss |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-476 | loss |
Elections 16% $-214
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | Yes | 23¢ | 98¢ | +$151 | win |
| Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 100 and 149 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
Weather 49% $-395
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 18? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 15? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 14? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 13? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
Other 39% $-7,096
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | win |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 26¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? | Yes | 28¢ | 14¢ | $-81 | loss |
| Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89¢ | 87¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | Yes | 19¢ | 14¢ | $-10 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 60.6¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | $203 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 62.3¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $89 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 78.9¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $139 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Tokushima Vortis win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $41 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $68 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $53 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Vegalta Sendai vs. Tochigi City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 22.5¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. AD Cali end in a draw? | Yes | 21.1¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 46¢ | +$13 | $79 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will SS Juve Stabia vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 30¢ | +$1 | $59 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 24¢ | $-11 | $57 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Derby County FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw? | Yes | 13.1¢ | 8¢ | $-9 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 15.4¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FK Rubin Kazan win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 43¢ | $-3 | $62 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FK Rubin Kazan vs. FK Akron Tolyatti end in a draw? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 30¢ | +$2 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FK Akron Tolyatti win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 28¢ | +$3 | $35 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Portsmouth FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 15¢ | $-12 | $32 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 2¢ | $-18 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 73.4¢ | 62¢ | $-16 | $97 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs. FK Kudrivka end in a draw? | Yes | 18.3¢ | 28¢ | +$12 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 18? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 18? | Yes | 35.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $26 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 78¢ | +$24 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FC Spartak Trnava win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 68¢ | +$2 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 59.7¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | $35 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Odisha FC vs. Mohammedan SC end in a draw? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | $190 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will AD Pasto win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 27.3¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | Yes | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $-129 | $135 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $67 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $57 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Odisha FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 56.4¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Mohammedan SC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 17.9¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. AD Pasto end in a draw? | Yes | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $83 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 19.8¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | 26.6¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-800 | $819 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-700 | $717 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-414 | $422 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-359 | $367 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-260 | $266 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $192 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15? | Yes | 14.4¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $39 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $96 | 15/04/2026 |