Win rate
51.6%
16 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$-4
realized $-1,742 · unrealized $1,738
Portfolio
$1,738
volume $39,163
Predictions
47
0.9/day · avg $833
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 27, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by February 21, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 17% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 50% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel out by April 30? | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | Yes | 82¢ | 56¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 87¢ | 60¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Tech 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 60% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
Recent Trades (34)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,623 | 13/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $36 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 15/03/2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $22 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 27, 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 28/02/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 21, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $54 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $37 | 31/12/2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $38 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | Yes | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $42 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,629 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 60¢ | $-7 | $23 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 56¢ | $-8 | $25 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $36 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $51 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 31/05/2026 |
| Kash Patel out by April 30? | No | 82.1¢ | 81¢ | $-0 | $31 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,646 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,615 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $46 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $36 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $36 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | $30 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $45 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $22 | 07/11/2028 |