Win rate
22.2%
12 W / 42 L
Total PnL
$59
realized $-1,260 · unrealized $1,320
Portfolio
$1,320
volume $43,142
Predictions
331
209.0/day · avg $130
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Finance 11% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 20m? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 97¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 9% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 56¢ | 56¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | No | 68¢ | 71¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? | No | 78¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 27% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | No | 75¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 75¢ | 77¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 33% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Benjamin Sesko be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jadoodoo win the Legend Trade Series? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Madz win the Legend Trade Series? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $1,160 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | No | 80.4¢ | 87¢ | +$1 | $289 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $170 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $468 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $466 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $180 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%? | No | 98.0¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $29 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? | No | 19.1¢ | 14¢ | +$0 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? | No | 96.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $29 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,035 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,033 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $278 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 72.3¢ | 77¢ | $-0 | $1,630 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 27.2¢ | 23¢ | $-0 | $605 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 30.6¢ | 24¢ | $-0 | $152 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 74.8¢ | 77¢ | $-0 | $470 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 91.7¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $193 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff? | No | 75.0¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | $476 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | No | 24.7¢ | 24¢ | +$0 | $136 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 25.2¢ | 24¢ | $-0 | $158 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $597 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $597 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 96.1¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $58 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $60 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 89.9¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | $54 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 95.5¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $57 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $60 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will 70-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 90.6¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | $72 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 87.4¢ | 78¢ | $-7 | $70 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will 60-69 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 89.3¢ | 87¢ | $-2 | $71 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 86.0¢ | 82¢ | $-3 | $69 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 71.8¢ | 75¢ | +$3 | $57 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will 10-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 99.3¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $79 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $80 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 95.5¢ | 90¢ | $-4 | $76 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 76.6¢ | 89¢ | +$10 | $61 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 19, 2026? | No | 93.2¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | $28 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 89¢ | $-0 | $27 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on April 19, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $28 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | $28 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Revival (Vazrazhdane) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 98.3¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $29 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | No | 91.9¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | $135 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 19/04/2026 |