Win rate
33.8%
24 W / 47 L
Total PnL
$-25,129
realized $-26,989 · unrealized $1,860
Portfolio
$1,860
volume $161,797
Predictions
77
0.8/day · avg $2,101
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$448
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$342 | win |
Culture 0% $-45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
Weather 0% $-112
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-436
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will $BTC reach 70k before September? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-436 | loss |
Politics 41% $-508
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Twitter" during the X space? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-299 | loss |
| Will Kamala and Trump both say "abortion" at debate? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | win |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-182 | loss |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | loss |
| Trump posts 40 or more times on X? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-571 | loss |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | win |
| Biden drops out in July? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$436 | win |
Sports 33% $-511
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-296 | loss |
| Spread: Hornets (-6.5) | Heat | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$282 | win |
| New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals | New York Mets | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-431 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Knicks | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-270 | loss |
| Will Kamala say "inflation" 3+ times during her Nevada speech? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-556
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Will Kamala say "Israel" during her Nevada speech? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | loss |
| Iran military response by Friday? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
Other 35% $-1,652
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-385 | loss |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Michigan State Spartans | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-315 | loss |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | St. Johns Red Storm | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$266 | win |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | Elena Rybakina | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | win |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators | Florida Gators | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-280 | loss |
| BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner | Daniil Medvedev | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-345 | loss |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-392 | loss |
| Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5) | Michigan State Spartans | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$235 | win |
Elections 29% $-21,795
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | +$334 | win |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Governor Election? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-783 | loss |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-900 | loss |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-1,131 | loss |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-1,874 | loss |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-3,345 | loss |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-4,488 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | $291 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-296 | $300 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-6.5) | Heat | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$282 | $318 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$389 | $210 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 13/04/2026 |
| New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals | New York Mets | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-431 | $431 | 07/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-385 | $385 | 04/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 14.6¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 31/03/2026 |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Michigan State Spartans | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-315 | $315 | 28/03/2026 |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | St. Johns Red Storm | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$266 | $350 | 27/03/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $112 | 27/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Knicks | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-270 | $270 | 26/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | Elena Rybakina | 41.5¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | $260 | 22/03/2026 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators | Florida Gators | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-280 | $280 | 22/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner | Daniil Medvedev | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-345 | $345 | 22/03/2026 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-392 | $392 | 22/03/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5) | Michigan State Spartans | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$235 | $265 | 21/03/2026 |
| VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | VCU Rams | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 21/03/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5) | Saint Louis Billikens | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | $156 | 21/03/2026 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Vanderbilt Commodores | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-280 | $280 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-704 | $704 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz | 42.7¢ | 0¢ | $-384 | $384 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $635 | 30/12/2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | +$334 | $806 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Governor Election? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $493 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election? | Yes | 78.4¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $1,056 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $350 | 05/11/2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-783 | $783 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-900 | $900 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? | No | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 05/11/2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | No | 72.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,131 | $1,659 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election? | Yes | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,874 | $1,874 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election? | Yes | 51.5¢ | 0¢ | $-3,345 | $3,345 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | Yes | 49.2¢ | 0¢ | $-4,488 | $4,488 | 05/11/2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | 75.3¢ | 0¢ | $-8,443 | $8,443 | 05/11/2024 |
| Biden removed via 25th Amendment? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $445 | 04/11/2024 |
| Will Biden resign before the election? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 04/11/2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | $210 | 04/11/2024 |
| Will JD Vance say "Illegal alien" during the debate? | Yes | 83.8¢ | 100¢ | +$209 | $1,081 | 01/10/2024 |
| Will Tim Walz say "Helene" during the debate? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-294 | $294 | 01/10/2024 |
| Will Kamala say "first-time homebuyer" during her Nevada speech? | Yes | 72.2¢ | 100¢ | +$350 | $909 | 29/09/2024 |
| Will Kamala say "inflation" 3+ times during her Nevada speech? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $108 | 29/09/2024 |
| Will Kamala say "trickle-down" during her Nevada speech? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 29/09/2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Israel" during her Nevada speech? | Yes | 15.4¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $154 | 29/09/2024 |
| Will Kamala say "AI" during her Nevada speech? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | $168 | 29/09/2024 |
| Will Kamala say "middle class" 5+ times during her Nevada speech? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-495 | $495 | 29/09/2024 |
| Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday? | No | 76.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,100 | $5,148 | 27/09/2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$342 | $516 | 18/09/2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during the X space? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$191 | $299 | 16/09/2024 |