Win rate
26.3%
25 W / 70 L
Total PnL
$670
realized $-71 · unrealized $741
Portfolio
$741
volume $298,623
Predictions
108
2.3/day · avg $2,765
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 31% +$1,691
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Connecticut Huskies | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$1,688 | win |
| Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5) | Michigan State Spartans | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | win |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | loss |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | win |
Esports 100% +$106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Astralis | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
Crypto 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 11? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 83% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 10% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 0% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 9% $-1,092
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Predators | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Mavericks vs. Raptors | Raptors | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Knicks | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Jazz vs. 76ers | Jazz | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Bulls | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,111 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Connecticut Huskies | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,688 | $1,982 | 28/03/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Predators | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $110 | 25/03/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5) | Michigan State Spartans | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $97 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 19? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $115 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $93 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $92 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,638 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,646 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,681 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,833 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $117 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 14/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Astralis | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $119 | 09/03/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Raptors | Raptors | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $95 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | $120 | 07/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Knicks | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $65 | 07/03/2026 |
| Jazz vs. 76ers | Jazz | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $87 | 05/03/2026 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02? | No | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | $131 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 11? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 04/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $41 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 31/01/2026 |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Bulls | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,111 | $1,111 | 30/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $755 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $872 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $888 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,846 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $759 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,495 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,541 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,969 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $488 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $939 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,686 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,290 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,674 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,978 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,080 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $3,268 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $5,054 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $981 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,264 | 20/07/2026 |