WarewaPain

Elections 62% +$3,046 $17,572 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-1,401	loss
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$3,143	win
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$1,002	win
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$139	win
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$134	win
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$85	win
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$45	win

Culture 25% +$1,010 $2,204 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-163	loss
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	21¢	0¢	$-174	loss

Geopolitics 50% +$587 $21,202 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	58¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	80¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$0	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	68¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-76	loss
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	91¢	0¢	+$-0	—
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	11¢	100¢	+$0	—
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$661	win

Economy 100% +$175 $5,131 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	71¢	99¢	+$17	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$104	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$54	win

Mentions 50% +$8 $2,988 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Politics 46% $-715 $8,623 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-106	loss
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	No	94¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Trump say "NATO" during Monday news conference?	No	28¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	No	20¢	0¢	$-229	loss
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	86¢	0¢	$-638	loss
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$200	win
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?	No	67¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-150	loss

Crypto 88% $-2,790 $60,993 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Wrestlefest: Seth Rollins vs. Gunther	Gunther	77¢	83¢	+$3	win
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	No	80¢	79¢	+$83	win
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?	No	97¢	100¢	+$415	win
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$96	win
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?	No	67¢	100¢	$-4,495	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?	No	98¢	100¢	+$298	win
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	No	90¢	100¢	+$805	win
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$5	win

Other 51% $-6,830 $103,664 vol · 81 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-1,408	loss
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	15¢	0¢	$-1,002	loss
Santa Cruz: Valerio Aboian vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Valerio Aboian	16¢	100¢	+$720	win
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady	August Holmgren	14¢	0¢	$-659	loss
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan	Denis Shapovalov	54¢	0¢	$-1,306	loss
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima	Arthur Fils	74¢	100¢	+$1,834	win
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsan	Fabian Marozsan	55¢	0¢	$-3,373	loss
Wrestlefest: Oba Femi vs. Brock Lesnar	Femi	77¢	70¢	$-4	loss
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Paris Gentle Mates	70¢	100¢	+$35	win
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season	Solary	66¢	100¢	+$434	win

Sports 57% $-8,275 $79,493 vol · 68 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	64¢	100¢	+$21	win
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Kelvin Gastelum	70¢	0¢	$-2,809	loss
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Dione Barbosa	52¢	100¢	+$852	win
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	OpTic Texas	73¢	100¢	+$270	win
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tyrell Fortune	55¢	100¢	+$76	win
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Bruna Brasil	14¢	0¢	$-225	loss
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Maycee Barber	63¢	0¢	$-372	loss
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)	Mansur Abdul-Malik	56¢	0¢	$-2,966	loss
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	Los Angeles Thieves	67¢	0¢	$-4,020	loss
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs	FaZe Vegas	56¢	100¢	+$760	win

Esports 41% $-10,999 $32,770 vol · 46 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matches	EDward Gaming	67¢	46¢	$-1,432	loss
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	38¢	0¢	$-1,873	loss
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	76¢	100¢	+$35	win
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	DN SOOPers	27¢	0¢	$-24	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	70¢	0¢	$-114	loss
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	FlyQuest	40¢	100¢	+$318	win
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Team Liquid	62¢	0¢	$-32	loss
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	55¢	0¢	$-550	loss
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Misa Esports	59¢	0¢	$-705	loss
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Bilibili Gaming	72¢	0¢	$-1,817	loss