Win rate
14.1%
14 W / 85 L
Total PnL
$437
realized $-576 · unrealized $1,013
Portfolio
$1,013
volume $179,827
Predictions
116
2.6/day · avg $1,550
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 17% +$753
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Celtics | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$572 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Sabres | Sabres | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Oilers vs. Avalanche | Oilers | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Panthers | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
Geopolitics 25% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 29¢ | 6¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 0% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 0% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 14% $-188
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5 | Over | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $995 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,016 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,020 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,042 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,153 | 13/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Celtics | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$572 | $1,062 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $79 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $412 | 18/03/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Sabres | Sabres | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $89 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13? | No | 70.9¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $52 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $54 | 13/03/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $80 | 12/03/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Avalanche | Oilers | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $41 | 11/03/2026 |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5 | Over | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $48 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08? | No | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 08/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Panthers | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $48 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 07/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Blue Jackets | Panthers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $93 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03? | No | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 03/03/2026 |
| Flames vs. Kings | Kings | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $115 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $44 | 08/02/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Hornets | Hornets | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $83 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $85 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $390 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $231 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25? | No | 55.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $74 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,014 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $831 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,053 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,063 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,244 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,094 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $325 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $384 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $505 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,138 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,478 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,875 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $378 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $478 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 6¢ | $-11 | $319 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $352 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $388 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $440 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $832 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,028 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,269 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,341 | 01/07/2026 |