Win rate
66.7%
1436 W / 716 L
Total PnL
$-58,241
realized $-85,751 · unrealized $27,510
Portfolio
$27,510
volume $3,506,382
Predictions
2,448
16.5/day · avg $1,432
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 90% +$8,829
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth make the cut at the 2026 Masters? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo launch a token by December 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8,758 | win |
| Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-17? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | win |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis be decided any other way? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Bitcoin Depot (BTM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Ethiopia win on 2025-10-12? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Satono Reve win the 2025 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | loss |
Finance 99% +$6,981
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$223 | win |
| Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Economy 60% +$1,069
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | No | 7¢ | 4¢ | $-16 | loss |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 65¢ | 8¢ | $-224 | loss |
| Spread: ENPPI (-2.5) | Smouha SC | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Spread: ENPPI (-2.5) | El Masry SC | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$1,241 | win |
Tech 86% +$577
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5) | FC UTA Arad | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| CEHL: Kometa vs. Motor Ceske Budejovice | Kometa | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5) | Universitatea Craiova CS | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$549 | win |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Weather 100% +$55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
Esports 40% +$44
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | fnatic | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Valorant: LYON vs Contra - Map 3 Winner | Contra | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$145 | win |
| Dinamo 1948 vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5 | Over | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
| FC Rapid 1923 vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5 | Under | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
Geopolitics 67% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-152 | loss |
| Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 | Over | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | win |
| Spread: CD Mirandés (-1.5) | Burgos CF | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Israel win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | win |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Emmers vs. Miranda | Miranda | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-325 | loss |
| Senators vs. Capitals | Capitals | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$201 | win |
Other 71% $-6,472
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | No | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 75¢ | 98¢ | +$162 | win |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Yes | 35¢ | 38¢ | +$10 | win |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | No | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | win |
| Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5) | Manchester United FC | 83¢ | 78¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25? | No | 31¢ | 34¢ | +$14 | win |
| Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) | Liverpool FC | 89¢ | 86¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5 | Under | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$12 | win |
Politics 67% $-19,521
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
Elections 44% $-24,802
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-1,317 | loss |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-2,225 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 63¢ | 90¢ | $-521 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 93¢ | 99¢ | $-543 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-652 | loss |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$246 | win |
Sports 49% $-39,926
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | win |
| Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | 46¢ | 49¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5 | Over | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-628 | loss |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Penguins | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-436 | loss |
| The Masters 2026: Playoff? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5 | Over | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Wild vs. Predators | Wild | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-5,871 | loss |
| Maple Leafs vs. Islanders | Islanders | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$1,096 | win |
| Will Cardiff Rugby win? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | +$559 | $158 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $2,424 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | +$115 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | +$72 | $615 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $546 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $847 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Independiente Medellín (-2.5) | CR Flamengo | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: CD Cuenca (-2.5) | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $69 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-39 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-172 | $387 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | $-267 | $1,650 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | $-630 | $1,350 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 34.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,637 | $1,677 | 17/04/2026 |
| Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris Basketball | Zalgiris Kaunas | 77.0¢ | 78¢ | +$3 | $196 | 17/04/2026 |
| Panathinaikos vs. Anadolu Efes | Anadolu Efes | 12.0¢ | 14¢ | +$5 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5) | Como 1907 | 36.0¢ | 40¢ | +$6 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5) | Fenerbahçe SK | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: Independiente del Valle (-2.5) | Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | +$251 | $556 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $373 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $487 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Carabobo FC (-2.5) | CA River Plate | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $122 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5) | América de Cali | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $120 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: CS Cristal (-2.5) | SE Palmeiras | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Boston River (-2.5) | Millonarios FC | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $69 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Barracas Central (-2.5) | Club Olimpia | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $61 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5) | Club Libertad | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $312 | 15/04/2026 |
| CD Palestino vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5 | Under | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $114 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5) | Racing Club | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $697 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Barcelona SC (-2.5) | CA Boca Juniors | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $138 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Deportivo La Guaira FC (-2.5) | Club Bolívar | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $127 | 15/04/2026 |
| Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-219 | $219 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Santos FC (-2.5) | Santos FC | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-306 | $306 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5 | Over | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-628 | $628 | 15/04/2026 |
| Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | Qingdao Eagles | 78.1¢ | 0¢ | $-684 | $684 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Penguins | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-436 | $436 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15? | No | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-370 | $375 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-04-15? | No | 75.1¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $160 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) | Liverpool FC | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $168 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $409 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5) | ZED FC | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $58 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: O'Higgins FC (-2.5) | São Paulo FC | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $73 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) | FC Barcelona | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $606 | 14/04/2026 |
| Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales | Sichuan Blue Whales | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-188 | $188 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 64.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3,623 | $8,214 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 64.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2,810 | $10,510 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | +$2,377 | $201 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | +$1,600 | $135 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | +$1,296 | $190 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | +$1,091 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |