Win rate
67.4%
31 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$-3,966
realized $-19,276 · unrealized $15,310
Portfolio
$15,310
volume $402,553
Predictions
48
1.4/day · avg $8,387
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 66% +$2,632
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-2,163 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 59¢ | 29¢ | $-334 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-1,227 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 71¢ | $-1,521 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 60¢ | 70¢ | $-2,696 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$667 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 46¢ | 64¢ | +$94 | win |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 6¢ | +$8 | win |
Elections 100% +$272
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$272 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Mentions 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Politics 0% $-570
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-570 | loss |
Other 67% $-6,833
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 63¢ | 73¢ | +$196 | win |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 31¢ | 36¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$418 | win |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$1,180 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 78¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| BitBoy convicted? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-8,672 | loss |
Recent Trades (47)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 70.5¢ | 93¢ | +$693 | $2,204 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 99¢ | +$418 | $3,054 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,064 | 12/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 72.1¢ | 92¢ | +$70 | $252 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $685 | 01/04/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 81.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2,425 | $14,922 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | No | 67.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,180 | $3,436 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 78.2¢ | 100¢ | +$657 | $7,239 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 39.4¢ | 0¢ | +$337 | $3,710 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 73.9¢ | 100¢ | +$249 | $6,057 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$226 | $5,563 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $199 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-570 | $1,020 | 31/03/2026 |
| BitBoy convicted? | No | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | $-8,672 | $9,434 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 83.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $34 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$961 | $3,279 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | No | 81.8¢ | 100¢ | +$876 | $4,412 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | No | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | +$848 | $6,399 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | No | 57.5¢ | 100¢ | +$607 | $1,880 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31? | No | 84.2¢ | 100¢ | +$206 | $1,608 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 55.1¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $143 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | $-137 | $1,872 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-540 | $920 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 30¢ | $-15 | $945 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | No | 71.0¢ | 96¢ | +$1,293 | $5,404 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 73.0¢ | 94¢ | +$1,011 | $6,217 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 30.6¢ | 36¢ | +$53 | $545 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 81.3¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $533 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $62 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $55 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026? | No | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $48 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | 64.5¢ | 94¢ | +$105 | $503 | 15/05/2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 38.9¢ | 37¢ | $-21 | $390 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 7¢ | +$10 | $50 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $27 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 6¢ | +$8 | $20 | 16/05/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 73¢ | +$196 | $1,235 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 60.2¢ | 66¢ | +$272 | $2,607 | 07/06/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 45.6¢ | 64¢ | +$94 | $238 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | 85.0¢ | 96¢ | +$5 | $396 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 68.0¢ | 76¢ | +$667 | $5,333 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 80.0¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $2,560 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 58.8¢ | 29¢ | $-334 | $1,445 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 70.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1,227 | $7,000 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 67.6¢ | 71¢ | $-1,521 | $4,375 | 31/12/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,163 | $5,655 | 31/12/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 60.4¢ | 70¢ | $-2,696 | $10,591 | 31/12/2026 |