Hejdejakob

Culture 50% +$98 $498 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	12¢	11¢	$-7	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	Yes	15¢	100¢	+$110	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	No	67¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" be the highest grossing movie this weekend?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "They Will Kill You" be the highest grossing movie this weekend?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$3	win

Other 58% +$61 $2,303 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	42¢	34¢	$-26	loss
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	87¢	96¢	+$10	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$173	win
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$7	win
Kristi Noem out by March 31?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	99¢	99¢	$-10	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will India join the Board of Peace?	No	98¢	100¢	$-98	loss

Politics 57% +$7 $2,580 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	57¢	55¢	$-11	loss
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	89¢	94¢	+$0	—
Will Cindy Hyde-Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate from Mississippi?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 0% $-70 $102 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	7¢	0¢	$-70	loss

Geopolitics 70% $-2,711 $25,005 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	64¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	74¢	88¢	+$11	win
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	55¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	69¢	94¢	$-529	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	83¢	83¢	+$0	—
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	82¢	100¢	+$22	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	70¢	8¢	$-221	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	73¢	0¢	$-2,588	loss

Elections 65% $-7,180 $39,381 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	76¢	80¢	+$1	win
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	98¢	98¢	$-49	loss
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	93¢	97¢	+$5	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$341	win
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-215	loss
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	88¢	90¢	+$72	win
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	93¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	No	99¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	No	98¢	100¢	+$9	win