Mamaozinho

Elections 32% +$88,595 $382,567 vol · 131 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	92¢	95¢	+$0	—
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	11¢	11¢	+$36	win
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	93¢	93¢	$-65	loss
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	67¢	66¢	+$0	—
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-3,247	loss
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	93¢	93¢	$-2	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	60¢	61¢	$-4,419	loss
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	83¢	95¢	+$17	win
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	85¢	96¢	$-54	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	61¢	63¢	$-42	loss

Sports 46% +$25,022 $174,046 vol · 272 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Yes	22¢	12¢	+$0	win
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-112	loss
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	91¢	99¢	$-2,728	loss
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	12¢	10¢	$-50	loss
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	22¢	22¢	+$5	win
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-552	loss
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	97¢	98¢	$-431	loss
Will Austria win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	38¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-143	loss

Other 47% +$7,822 $70,647 vol · 241 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	98¢	100¢	$-704	loss
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	No	84¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-374	loss
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	47¢	40¢	$-22	loss
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$60	win
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?	No	51¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?	No	74¢	100¢	+$13	win

Politics 85% +$4,205 $14,161 vol · 59 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-5	loss
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	65¢	72¢	$-0	loss
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	75¢	72¢	+$80	win
Will Dominick Pangallo be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	No	97¢	97¢	$-41	loss
Will Patrick Farrell be the Republican nominee for GA-01?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$10	win
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-17	loss

Economy 100% +$537 $340 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$512	win
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$25	win

Tech 67% +$348 $1,052 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$0	—
OpenAI browser in July?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$40	win
OpenAI browser in July?	No	65¢	100¢	$-30	loss
MetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?	No	70¢	100¢	+$194	win
MetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-10	loss
MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?	Yes	20¢	0¢	+$130	win
Will OpenAI sue Elon Musk before 2025?	No	50¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will OpenAI sue Elon Musk before 2025?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-3	loss

Culture 61% +$151 $4,810 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?	No	62¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$85	win
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$23	win
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?	No	94¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?	No	88¢	100¢	$-38	loss
Will 'Please Please Please' win Song of the Year?	No	92¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will 'A Different Man' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?	No	95¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Will 'Sing Sing' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Oscar Piastri win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will Oscar Piastri win the Qatar Grand Prix?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$4	win

Finance 100% +$12 $115 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kraken IPO in 2025?	No	46¢	100¢	+$12	win

Crypto 44% $-71 $498 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	12¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-33	loss
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	89¢	63¢	$-20	loss
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?	Yes	37¢	0¢	+$8	win
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?	No	11¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Maxwell win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition?	No	50¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Maxwell win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 40% $-523 $979 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-535	loss
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?	Yes	23¢	0¢	+$73	win
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?	No	74¢	100¢	$-61	loss
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?	No	50¢	100¢	+$43	win
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-43	loss