TexMexTRex

Sports 61% +$41,634 $2,847,044 vol · 590 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	66¢	4¢	$-652	loss
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	77¢	96¢	$-39	loss
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	63¢	31¢	+$391	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Linda Noskova	Linda Noskova	89¢	100¢	+$1,266	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez	Leylah Fernandez	67¢	100¢	$-2,131	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	98¢	0¢	$-15,860	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva	Mirra Andreeva	81¢	100¢	+$1,173	win
Canucks vs. Oilers	Oilers	74¢	100¢	+$1,054	win
Kings vs. Flames	Kings	61¢	0¢	$-1,500	loss
Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	71¢	100¢	+$1,144	win

Geopolitics 61% +$28,235 $456,561 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	46¢	0¢	$-500	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$590	win
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	30¢	0¢	+$433	win
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?	No	89¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-384	loss
First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Dominican Rep.	Dominican Rep.	95¢	100¢	+$1,004	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$4,660	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$3,791	win
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$3,017	win
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?	No	78¢	0¢	$-3,561	loss

Elections 54% +$12,534 $503,580 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-334	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	43¢	16¢	$-372	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$1,053	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	45¢	15¢	$-388	loss
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2,078	win
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$719	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-8,903	loss
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	No	80¢	0¢	$-19,521	loss
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$4,039	win

Economy 100% +$3,014 $32,783 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State	Wake Forest	91¢	100¢	+$1,033	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$1,981	win

Weather 75% +$2,720 $55,920 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	St. Johns Red Storm	81¢	100¢	+$1,056	win
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	97¢	100¢	+$1,546	win
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?	No	73¢	100¢	+$331	win
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-213	loss

Culture 46% +$2,614 $24,134 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$1,004	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$915	win
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$748	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$1,000	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$1,577	win
Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$325	win
Will "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?	No	36¢	0¢	$-163	loss
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	72¢	0¢	$-635	loss

Finance 100% +$1,954 $53,059 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Federico Bondioli	Daniel Altmaier	96¢	100¢	+$1,954	win

Esports 50% +$1,552 $1,910 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5	Under	52¢	100¢	+$1,662	win
ALCS: Guardians vs. Yankees Game 5	Guardians	16¢	0¢	$-110	loss

Mentions 50% +$114 $1,408 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MrBeast's giveaway tweet be reposted between 3.5-3.8m times?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-31	loss

Tech 0% $-164 $200 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-164	loss

Politics 46% $-10,648 $263,005 vol · 123 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	2¢	+$520	win
Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?	No	89¢	100¢	+$1,356	win
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?	No	88¢	100¢	+$896	win
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-2,030	loss
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?	No	55¢	100¢	+$176	win
Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$76	win
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	No	64¢	100¢	$-3,585	loss
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-177	loss
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?	No	31¢	0¢	$-800	loss
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-600	loss

Crypto 64% $-53,336 $1,467,110 vol · 123 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$614	win
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$1,116	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 9?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-500	loss
ATX Open: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Whitney Osuigwe	Mandlik	83¢	0¢	$-11,800	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	57¢	0¢	$-1,100	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	66¢	100¢	+$150	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	2¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	19¢	0¢	$-140	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on February 7?	No	27¢	0¢	$-462	loss

Other 58% $-110,015 $7,214,990 vol · 1057 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	10¢	2¢	$-28,566	loss
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	32¢	12¢	$-1,601	loss
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	48¢	36¢	$-31	loss
Swiatek vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	70¢	100¢	+$1,212	win
Rybakina vs. Fernandez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	63¢	60¢	$-75	loss
Fernandez vs. Sonmez: Match O/U 21.5	Over	65¢	100¢	+$154	win
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovich	Iryna Shymanovich	53¢	100¢	+$890	win
Rybakina vs. Shnaider: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	72¢	100¢	+$581	win
Cocciaretto vs. Podrez: Match O/U 21.5	Over	52¢	100¢	+$543	win
Samsonova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5	Over	78¢	0¢	$-1,047	loss