Win rate
97.9%
2050 W / 44 L
Total PnL
$619
realized $-1,472 · unrealized $2,090
Portfolio
$2,090
volume $615,901
Predictions
8,313
75.1/day · avg $74
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 98% +$6,617
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 18? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 18? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 17? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 17? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 17? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 17? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 17? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 86% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Other 0% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 17? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 17? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 17? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 17? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 17? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 17? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 17? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 17? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 17? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 17? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 17? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 17? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on April 17? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 16? | No | 66.4¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 16? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C or higher on April 16? | No | 75.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 16? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 16? | No | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $70 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 16? | No | 86.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 16? | No | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 16? | No | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on April 16? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 16? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 16? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on April 16? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 16? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 16? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 16? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 16? | No | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 16? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 16? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 16? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 16? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |