coinfever

Politics 50% +$101 $200 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?	No	93¢	86¢	$-10	loss
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	No	47¢	100¢	+$111	win

Elections 100% +$13 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another Canada election called by June 30?	No	85¢	95¢	+$13	win

Tech 83% +$8 $600 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	SpaceX	85¢	94¢	+$6	win
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	69¢	74¢	+$10	win
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?	No	87¢	80¢	$-15	loss
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	91¢	95¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	97¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4	win

Finance 100% +$8 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	89¢	95¢	+$8	win

Economy 100% +$1 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 83% $-61 $1,264 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	90¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	86¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	No	99¢	100¢	+$16	win

Other 50% $-124 $568 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	91¢	93¢	+$1	win
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	70¢	74¢	$-1	loss
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	48¢	36¢	$-28	loss
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	98¢	99¢	+$1	win
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?	Yes	61¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win

Weather 89% $-127 $2,527 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 18?	No	97¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17?	No	95¢	97¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?	No	94¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 17?	No	90¢	95¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 16?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 16?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 16?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 77% $-1,178 $8,067 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	89¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	60¢	100¢	+$119	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	87¢	100¢	+$104	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	80¢	100¢	+$98	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	66¢	100¢	+$52	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	80¢	100¢	+$51	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	77¢	100¢	+$46	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	84¢	100¢	+$45	win