Win rate
83.8%
124 W / 24 L
Total PnL
$-834
realized $-1,556 · unrealized $722
Portfolio
$722
volume $79,666
Predictions
584
9.4/day · avg $136
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Yes | 33¢ | 32¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1? | No | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
Politics 100% +$25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29) | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 100% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Up | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Down | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Tech 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 87% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 17? | No | 94¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17? | Yes | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 17? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on April 17? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 83% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Culture 36% $-117
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | win |
| Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? | Yes | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17? | No | 91.7¢ | 93¢ | +$5 | $341 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 17? | No | 93.7¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | $128 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17? | Yes | 81.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17? | Yes | 92.5¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | $174 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 17? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on April 17? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 17? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 17? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 17? | Yes | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17? | Yes | 83.8¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $77 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 16? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $80 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16? | No | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 14? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $62 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on April 14? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 14? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $48 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 13? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $37 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 13? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $59 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 13? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $61 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 13? | Yes | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 13? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $62 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 13? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on April 13? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on April 13? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 13? | No | 94.4¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $78 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 12? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $43 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 12? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 12? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 12? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $54 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 12? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 12? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 12? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 12? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 12? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 12? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $46 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 11? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $59 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on April 11? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $68 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 11? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $58 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 11? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 11? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 11? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on April 11? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $43 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 11? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $62 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on April 11? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 11? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 11? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $46 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 11? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $33 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 11? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $45 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 11? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 11/04/2026 |