Win rate
48.0%
12 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$-53
realized $-839 · unrealized $785
Portfolio
$785
volume $177,628
Predictions
39
1.4/day · avg $4,555
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/07/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 75% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 17% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 62% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 7¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Elections 25% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 83¢ | 83¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79¢ | 75¢ | $-33 | loss |
Recent Trades (41)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $8,082 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $130 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $116 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $612 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | $197 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $4,194 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 96.6¢ | 88¢ | $-2 | $2,448 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $897 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.9¢ | 98¢ | $-4 | $2,509 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79.1¢ | 75¢ | $-33 | $816 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 96.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $4,193 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $3,813 | 16/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 94.6¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | $783 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.6¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | $818 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | No | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $62 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 21.8¢ | 24¢ | +$0 | $1,003 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 84.5¢ | 85¢ | $-3 | $1,904 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,723 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15.3¢ | 15¢ | +$0 | $139 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $817 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | $820 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.7¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $819 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91.4¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $819 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89.9¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | $820 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,639 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $818 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 94.4¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $818 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 95.4¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $899 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 9¢ | +$2 | $177 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 91.2¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | $819 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 75.5¢ | 73¢ | +$2 | $818 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 94.1¢ | 93¢ | +$2 | $816 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 91.6¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | $2,535 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $2,455 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97.4¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $818 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $3,356 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.1¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $819 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.7¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $816 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 96.5¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $4,190 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | $65 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 83.0¢ | 83¢ | $-5 | $1,627 | 07/11/2028 |