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0xdcdef208C7BBbbD3423cA01d4Df654dDC9437960-1775465426514
0xdcdef208c7bbbbd3423ca01d4df654ddc9437960 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
58.8%
30 W / 21 L
Total PnL
$-614
realized $-1,134 · unrealized $520
Portfolio
$520
volume $48,226
Predictions
91
10.1/day · avg $530
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 84% +$236
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 66¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 64¢ | 70¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 75¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 76¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 35¢ | 50¢ | +$44 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 36¢ | 49¢ | +$16 | win |
Politics 100% +$57
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 28¢ | 49¢ | +$54 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Other 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 30¢ | 63¢ | +$17 | win |
Crypto 38% $-749
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Up | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Down | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Down | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Up | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Up | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Down | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Up | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 91¢ | +$21 | $160 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $78 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Up | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $100 | 09/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 76.8¢ | 92¢ | +$45 | $289 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $278 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Down | 74.6¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $138 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Down | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $102 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Up | 47.5¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $31 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 58.5¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $33 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Up | 56.6¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $26 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Down | 83.4¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $101 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 60.8¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $28 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Up | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $126 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 50.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $221 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 52.9¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $100 | 06/04/2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Down | 13.1¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $28 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $66 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Down | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $42 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 72.4¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | $132 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | $67 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Up | 16.4¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $48 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Up | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | $67 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $62 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Down | 55.5¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Up | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $96 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Up | 65.8¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | $199 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Up | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Down | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $175 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Up | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $94 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Up | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | $146 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Up | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-170 | $170 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-220 | $430 | 06/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 90¢ | +$4 | $22 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 20.8¢ | 44¢ | +$9 | $39 | 22/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 34.8¢ | 50¢ | +$44 | $112 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 27.7¢ | 49¢ | +$54 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 38.8¢ | 58¢ | +$31 | $162 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 35.7¢ | 49¢ | +$16 | $55 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 28.3¢ | 67¢ | +$26 | $43 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 30.4¢ | 63¢ | +$17 | $90 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $75 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 95.5¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 64.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $53 | 30/04/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 76.2¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | $24 | 31/05/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 36.6¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 79.8¢ | 75¢ | $-2 | $26 | 31/12/2026 |