Win rate
22.7%
5 W / 17 L
Total PnL
$776
realized $-762 · unrealized $1,537
Portfolio
$1,537
volume $61,177
Predictions
19
0.9/day · avg $3,220
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 38% +$1,139
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 34¢ | +$8 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-148 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
Politics 0% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | Yes | 31¢ | 30¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 82¢ | 88¢ | $-8 | loss |
Culture 0% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 54¢ | $-17 | loss |
Other 0% $-346
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 70¢ | 74¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | Yes | 88¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 4¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-201 | loss |
Recent Trades (22)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 22.4¢ | 100¢ | +$542 | $156 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $288 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $131 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $722 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 56.3¢ | 0¢ | $-148 | $339 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $83 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 88¢ | $-8 | $89 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $37 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $122 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 34¢ | $-20 | $1,438 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 17.2¢ | 34¢ | +$8 | $545 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 52¢ | +$385 | $2,229 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 29.8¢ | 4¢ | $-43 | $81 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | No | 55.4¢ | 100¢ | $-88 | $341 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | Yes | 64.8¢ | 0¢ | $-201 | $766 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | $100 | 20/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 69.3¢ | 66¢ | +$491 | $7,297 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | Yes | 30.7¢ | 30¢ | $-8 | $200 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 71.6¢ | 74¢ | $-3 | $403 | 19/11/2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 69.7¢ | 74¢ | $-10 | $198 | 19/11/2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 43.9¢ | 54¢ | $-17 | $200 | 31/12/2026 |