MaxCarry

Economy 71% +$502 $2,407 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	35¢	8¢	$-53	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-1	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$525	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$23	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	34¢	100¢	+$3	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 71% +$398 $2,430 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	40¢	74¢	+$40	win
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	80¢	88¢	+$8	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	75¢	66¢	+$6	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	40¢	30¢	+$2	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	88¢	91¢	+$0	—
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	48¢	0¢	$-46	loss
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	65¢	96¢	$-4	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	66¢	86¢	+$69	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	25¢	60¢	+$71	win

Crypto 67% +$321 $1,899 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	70¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$311	win
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 8-14?	No	20¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Other 59% +$107 $5,159 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	57¢	27¢	+$3	win
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	80¢	87¢	$-2	loss
Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	Yes	67¢	78¢	+$6	win
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	65¢	0¢	+$2	win
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	50¢	36¢	+$0	—
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	33¢	5¢	$-76	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	43¢	64¢	+$84	win
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	58¢	83¢	+$14	win
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	32¢	40¢	$-4	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	45¢	0¢	$-84	loss

Esports 100% +$3 $92 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5	Over	96¢	100¢	+$2	win

Tech 0% $-53 $120 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	40¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-49	loss

Sports 53% $-224 $5,207 vol · 59 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	31¢	96¢	+$29	win
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	50¢	69¢	$-6	loss
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)	Warriors	40¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)	Clippers	80¢	100¢	+$20	win
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Lakers	80¢	100¢	+$20	win
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5	Under	60¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	85¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)	Timberwolves	60¢	100¢	+$40	win

Elections 0% $-467 $539 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?	No	67¢	0¢	$-95	loss
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?	No	51¢	0¢	$-373	loss

Politics 27% $-1,182 $3,027 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	64¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	40¢	39¢	$-5	loss
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?	No	51¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	85¢	100¢	$-83	loss
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$76	win
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-634	loss