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0xdbc45DB6Ba0618e6182109854E8D19a77b4f4347-1774988361072
0xdbc45db6ba0618e6182109854e8d19a77b4f4347 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
61.3%
19 W / 12 L
Total PnL
$246
realized $-922 · unrealized $1,168
Portfolio
$1,168
volume $19,598
Predictions
30
2.2/day · avg $653
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 57% +$190
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 46¢ | 26¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 66¢ | 72¢ | +$2 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 29¢ | 32¢ | +$96 | win |
Geopolitics 64% +$185
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 76¢ | 74¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 46¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 60¢ | 55¢ | +$9 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 47¢ | $-12 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Politics 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | Yes | 87¢ | 82¢ | $-2 | loss |
Recent Trades (33)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $50 | 18/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $424 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $365 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 82¢ | $-2 | $45 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 47¢ | $-12 | $30 | 20/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 26¢ | +$18 | $157 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 26¢ | +$36 | $52 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 46.3¢ | 46¢ | $-2 | $183 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 32¢ | +$94 | $185 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | $60 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 32¢ | +$96 | $87 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 59.7¢ | 55¢ | +$9 | $94 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $516 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $31 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 46¢ | +$0 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $80 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 64.5¢ | 62¢ | +$50 | $305 | 31/05/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 72¢ | +$2 | $30 | 31/05/2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | No | 92.0¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | $30 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 51.3¢ | 62¢ | +$54 | $151 | 31/05/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $115 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 94.0¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | $30 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $96 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $219 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 85.9¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $58 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $69 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94.7¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | $106 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $251 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 76.0¢ | 74¢ | $-2 | $118 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 92.8¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | $82 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 46.3¢ | 26¢ | $-3 | $26 | 31/12/2026 |