0xDB5

Tech 82% +$10,392 $17,724 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$1,746	win
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?	No	38¢	100¢	+$180	win
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?	No	84¢	100¢	+$150	win
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$1,950	win
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$1,897	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$1,753	win
Will Buffett say "Apple" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$102	win

Mentions 47% +$7,784 $200,733 vol · 167 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Elon tweet 310–324 times August 29–September 5?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will Elon tweet between 600 and 629 times August 29–September 5?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-310	loss
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet 275–289 times August 8–August 15?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$257	win
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-5	loss

Politics 58% +$611 $4,854 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?	No	57¢	0¢	+$39	win
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?	No	66¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Trump x Xi talk before July?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$66	win
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before June?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?	No	91¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$41	win
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?	No	48¢	0¢	$-46	loss

Economy 33% +$13 $418 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	No	43¢	100¢	+$104	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-23	loss
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?	No	37¢	0¢	$-68	loss

Sports 43% $-40 $904 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legend	T1	60¢	100¢	+$20	win
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gaming	Bilibili Gaming	51¢	0¢	$-26	loss
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Flying Oyster	T1	91¢	100¢	$-6	loss
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's Legend	Gen.G	47¢	100¢	$-24	loss
MSI Playoffs: Movistar KOI vs. Bilibili Gaming	Bilibili Gaming	89¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-151	loss
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?	Yes	35¢	100¢	+$113	win

Geopolitics 44% $-90 $1,714 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?	No	90¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	No	84¢	100¢	+$14	win
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?	No	64¢	100¢	+$8	win
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?	No	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	No	87¢	100¢	$-22	loss
US military action against Iran before August?	No	37¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	No	71¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?	No	63¢	0¢	$-82	loss

Other 62% $-501 $11,061 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	16¢	48¢	+$132	win
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will MrBeast's next video get 40m+ views on day 1?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	+$228	win
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Dream's next video get 500k-1m views on day 1?	No	50¢	100¢	+$40	win
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	+$29	win
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?	No	59¢	100¢	$-40	loss

Crypto 44% $-869,474 $9,447,818 vol · 7131 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18?	No	13¢	8¢	$-169	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18?	Yes	73¢	92¢	+$86	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 18?	Yes	24¢	32¢	+$25	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?	No	98¢	97¢	$-17	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-137	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-579	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?	No	71¢	43¢	$-617	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17?	No	8¢	3¢	$-19	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?	No	97¢	96¢	$-688	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 17?	No	98¢	99¢	+$6	win