DooBieZ

Geopolitics 77% +$3,270 $313,556 vol · 528 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	21¢	18¢	+$0	—
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	84¢	84¢	+$1	win
US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	12¢	9¢	+$260	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	95¢	100¢	+$57	win
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	96¢	100¢	$-182	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	9¢	8¢	+$31	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	85¢	91¢	+$22	win
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?	No	91¢	96¢	+$9	win

Economy 88% +$1,254 $29,001 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
US recession in 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$19	win
US recession in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$18	win
Negative GDP growth in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	85¢	81¢	$-9	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$143	win
Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$1	win
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	82¢	100¢	$-22	loss

Tech 74% +$2 $40,109 vol · 92 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	No	83¢	93¢	+$5	win
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	95¢	97¢	+$1	win
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	80¢	72¢	$-10	loss
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	No	91¢	94¢	$-15	loss
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	No	92¢	97¢	+$5	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	86¢	97¢	+$1	win
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	84¢	94¢	+$1	win
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	83¢	95¢	$-16	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win

Weather 77% $-6 $2,728 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	87¢	86¢	$-34	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 16?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 5?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 22?	No	96¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 22?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 22?	No	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?	No	79¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Finance 61% $-189 $18,655 vol · 92 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	No	94¢	97¢	+$2	win
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	76¢	34¢	$-146	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	5¢	8¢	$-5	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	98¢	98¢	+$1	win
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	79¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	84¢	42¢	+$1	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	85¢	56¢	$-49	loss
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	72¢	42¢	$-6	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	No	80¢	6¢	$-136	loss

Sports 76% $-319 $15,968 vol · 83 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	95¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	95¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will Breece Hall be traded?	No	91¢	97¢	+$1	win
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ime Udoka win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Nikola Jovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	win
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	Yes	10¢	3¢	+$80	win
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	win
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?	No	85¢	97¢	$-70	loss
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?	No	91¢	100¢	+$17	win

Other 71% $-483 $360,200 vol · 998 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	No	93¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?	No	98¢	99¢	$-144	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Yes	13¢	16¢	+$2	win
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-19	loss
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	92¢	91¢	+$1	win
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?	No	85¢	75¢	+$1	win
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	85¢	93¢	$-22	loss
HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	7¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	75¢	86¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 61% $-1,096 $19,118 vol · 75 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?	No	50¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?	No	91¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trove launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Daylight launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	89¢	33¢	$-31	loss
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	95¢	93¢	+$12	win
Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	96¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-78	loss

Politics 69% $-1,284 $196,557 vol · 502 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	96¢	97¢	+$0	—
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	88¢	79¢	$-36	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	4¢	2¢	+$2	win
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	No	83¢	76¢	$-6	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	15¢	8¢	+$329	win
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	Trump Announce Fed	83¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	8¢	8¢	+$37	win
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	94¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	27¢	16¢	+$26	win
Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	96¢	100¢	$-27	loss

Culture 62% $-1,503 $32,422 vol · 161 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?	No	94¢	95¢	+$0	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	No	89¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Will "The Romantic" by Bruno Mars be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?	No	96¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$24	win
Will Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	95¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	91¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win

Elections 60% $-8,187 $139,764 vol · 725 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	94¢	90¢	$-21	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	15¢	17¢	$-2	loss
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?	No	89¢	92¢	+$1	win
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	19¢	19¢	+$-0	—
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	80¢	81¢	$-8	loss
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	91¢	86¢	+$0	—
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?	Yes	91¢	92¢	+$4	win
Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?	Yes	93¢	92¢	+$4	win
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	No	78¢	68¢	+$3	win
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	97¢	100¢	$-2	loss