Win rate
42.6%
29 W / 39 L
Total PnL
$0
realized $-536 · unrealized $536
Portfolio
$536
volume $113,820
Predictions
132
28.1/day · avg $862
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 60% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 71% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Esports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 33% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 31% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 29% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Raptors | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $191 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $119 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $2,009 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $583 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $123 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $355 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $91 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $74 | 14/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) | G2 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $51 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $176 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $321 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner | GIANTX | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $101 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Raptors | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $281 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $421 | 18/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 19/04/2026 |
| BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 20/04/2026 |
| Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $76 | 20/04/2026 |
| Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov | Pavel Kotov | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 20/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 21/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 22/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,859 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $1,472 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $123 | 29/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $862 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $2,684 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $140 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $2,701 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $469 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $2,966 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $303 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,905 | 30/04/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $894 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $83 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $424 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 97.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $460 | 30/04/2026 |