CosmicCedar

Politics 79% +$1,448 $204,207 vol · 364 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump visit Texas in 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?	No	67¢	96¢	$-39	loss
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump name "Keir" or "Starmer" in April?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Aubry Bracco be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	No	97¢	73¢	$-57	loss
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 19)	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Benjamin "Coach" Wade be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Aubry Bracco be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Moon" this week? (April 12)	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will Trump attend UFC 327?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$51	win

Esports 100% +$612 $555 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Massacre" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?	No	48¢	100¢	+$612	win

Elections 87% +$304 $18,977 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	No	93¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Danielle Martin win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Don Hodgson win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump say "Midterm" during Fox interview on Tuesday?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will Tim Walz say "Reelection" during his press conference on January 5?	No	99¢	100¢	+$6	win
Another Canada election called in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Trump say "November 5th" or "Election" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?	No	100¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Trump say "Election" or "November 5th" at the Congressional Ball on December 11?	No	99¢	100¢	+$9	win

Mentions 100% +$0 $483 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 80% $-115 $1,123 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Recession" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will "Interest Rate" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-123	loss
Will "Recession" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bryan Johnson say "Erection" while tripping balls?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 33% $-951 $9,145 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or higher on April 3?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Stormers win?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 22?	Yes	17¢	100¢	+$2,449	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or higher on November 22?	No	99¢	100¢	$-24	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 22?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1,388	loss

Geopolitics 56% $-1,103 $6,858 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-391	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	$-65	loss
Will JD Vance say "Israel" at AmericaFest events on December 21?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Renato Paratore win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?	No	99¢	100¢	$-242	loss
Will "Nuclear" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Belleville Senators	Laval Rocket	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Manitoba Moose	Manitoba Moose	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-414	loss

Crypto 80% $-1,140 $3,922 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?	No	100¢	100¢	$-818	loss
Will "Pete" or "Hegseth" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Crypto" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Tim Walz say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his press conference on January 5?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ariana Grande say "Ethan" or "Slater" on SNL on December 20?	No	95¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2025 Hero World Challenge?	No	100¢	100¢	$-340	loss
Will Robinhood say "Blockchain" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Taylor Swift say "Tour" during Late Night with Seth Meyers?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Pete Hegseth visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 77% $-1,590 $23,530 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Amazon reach $240 in January?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Melania say "ChatGPT" during AI talk on Friday?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Wells Fargo say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Keir Starmer say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-785	loss
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?	No	71¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	58¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Greta Thunberg rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	$-691	loss

Finance 90% $-3,270 $62,091 vol · 106 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-5,756	loss
Will Delta say "Nonstop" or "Non-Stop" during earnings call?	No	95¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Wells Fargo say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	98¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Wells Fargo say "Delinquency" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Delta say "Efficiency" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bank of America say "Tariff" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bank of America say "M&A" during earnings call?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will JPMorgan say "M&A" during earnings call?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will JPMorgan say "Recession" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 28% $-4,674 $16,895 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$780	win
Will Ludvig Åberg win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?	No	100¢	100¢	$-819	loss
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-440	loss
Will Ariana Grande say "Music" on SNL on December 20?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win 3 awards at the 2025 Game Awards?	No	95¢	100¢	$-9	loss

Other 62% $-9,185 $280,696 vol · 515 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$220	win
Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	93¢	100¢	$-866	loss
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	78¢	0¢	$-373	loss
Will Nick Kyrgios win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Victoria Azarenka win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Split win ABA League?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Yukatel Merkezefendi Basket win Turkey BSL?	No	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Calgary Wranglers win American Hockey League?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 41% $-42,462 $310,100 vol · 662 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will any U.S. soccer team win the treble in the 2025 season?	No	99¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	100¢	100¢	$-944	loss
Will Brøndby win Denmark Superliga?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the New York Rangers win the Metropolitan Division?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the New York Rangers make the NHL Playoffs?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the NHL Playoffs?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will there be 8+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—