Win rate
75.9%
214 W / 68 L
Total PnL
$1,134
realized $-1,193 · unrealized $2,327
Portfolio
$2,327
volume $176,424
Predictions
623
11.5/day · avg $283
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 73% +$363
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Netflix reach $140 in April? | No | 97¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 13 above $70? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $140-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 6 above $160? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $130-$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 6 above $80? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 8% +$203
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 79¢ | 66¢ | $-10 | loss |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64 | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | loss |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-181 | loss |
Culture 33% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | Yes | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025) | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Geopolitics 87% +$25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$35 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
Weather 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 89% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta reach $770 in April? | No | 94¢ | 81¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 16¢ | 2¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 13 above $325? | Yes | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $325? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of April 6 above $630? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of April 6 above $510? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $228 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 6 above $240? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 79% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in February 2026 (ET)? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 in April? | No | 90¢ | 51¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $600 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $600 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit 49800 (HIGH) in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit 17800 (LOW) in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Crypto 82% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$5 | win |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 62¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $134 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 48% $-139
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 87¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 6–10 seconds? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 18? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | loss |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on July 4? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | Down | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
Other 85% $-336
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026? | No | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 51¢ | 88¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $132 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 100¢ | 51¢ | $-12 | loss |
| NYA (NYA) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 99¢ | 63¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov vs. Anish Giri end in a draw? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.25 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 13 above $70? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $140-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 13 above $325? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $600 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $132 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 51¢ | $-12 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on April 17? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| NYA (NYA) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 99.0¢ | 63¢ | $-9 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov vs. Anish Giri end in a draw? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $69 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 6 above $160? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $196 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $325? | No | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.25 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $36 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $130-$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $78 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of April 6 above $630? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of April 6 above $510? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $228 Week of April 6 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 6 above $240? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of April 6 above $80? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$330 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of April 6 above $5.50? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 6 above $200? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 6 above $320? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $157 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $137 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $139 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $307.50 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $105 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $123 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $244 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (HIGH) $665 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $97 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $236 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $110 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 30 above $390? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $75 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $265 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $600 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 30 above $210? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 03/04/2026 |