Arbgod-himself

Other 53% +$2,065 $38,021 vol · 174 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	83¢	100¢	+$9	win
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-14	loss
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	15¢	8¢	$-21	loss
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-318	loss
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	78¢	100¢	+$223	win
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	83¢	100¢	+$7	win
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	9¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	90¢	100¢	+$32	win
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	86¢	100¢	+$32	win

Culture 67% +$1,223 $3,999 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	61¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	44¢	100¢	+$1,478	win
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	79¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	91¢	100¢	$-259	loss
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-10	loss

Elections 100% +$10 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$10	win

Economy 100% +$7 $245 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	41¢	78¢	+$0	—
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	No	85¢	88¢	+$7	win

Sports 42% $-116 $3,192 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	84¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	No	71¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Cavaliers vs. Warriors	Warriors	36¢	0¢	$-51	loss
76ers vs. Wizards	Wizards	16¢	0¢	$-47	loss
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Solary	46¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Bulls vs. Grizzlies	Bulls	56¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Nuggets vs. Suns	Nuggets	69¢	100¢	+$278	win
Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	49¢	0¢	$-319	loss
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	win
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	43¢	100¢	+$122	win

Finance 0% $-127 $175 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Ledger IPO before 2027?	Yes	47¢	24¢	+$0	—
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of January 2026?	No	43¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,040 on the final trading day of January 2026?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Walmart say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	56¢	0¢	$-60	loss

Geopolitics 50% $-151 $1,052 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Over	46¢	42¢	$-2	loss
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?	Yes	33¢	100¢	+$79	win
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?	No	31¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?	No	84¢	0¢	$-178	loss
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?	No	91¢	100¢	+$48	win

Politics 50% $-152 $2,159 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	44¢	40¢	$-22	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	88¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?	No	34¢	0¢	$-191	loss
Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-108	loss
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$8	win
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-111	loss

Tech 56% $-158 $2,787 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	38¢	40¢	+$4	win
Will Tesla reach $450 in March?	No	75¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of March?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of March?	No	62¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of March?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Meta (META) close above $740 end of February?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of February?	No	63¢	100¢	+$78	win
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of February?	No	85¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of February?	No	34¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 56% $-1,041 $53,759 vol · 207 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	No	20¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	Yes	22¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25?	No	24¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 25?	No	57¢	0¢	$-274	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?	Down	71¢	100¢	+$136	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 19?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 12?	Down	47¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$3	win

Esports 39% $-2,174 $14,535 vol · 93 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matches	TEC Esports	43¢	41¢	$-21	loss
Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season	Nuxeria Esport	32¢	23¢	$-21	loss
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Nongshim RedForce	63¢	66¢	+$5	win
Valorant: REBORN vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B	REBORN	56¢	64¢	+$7	win
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	78¢	100¢	+$111	win
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	DRX	53¢	100¢	+$102	win
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	South America Rejects	23¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	MOUZ	21¢	6¢	$-34	loss
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Natus Vincere	41¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Team Liquid	65¢	100¢	+$75	win