Win rate
99.0%
2399 W / 24 L
Total PnL
$-4,093
realized $-9,414 · unrealized $5,321
Portfolio
$5,321
volume $1,117,997
Predictions
5,396
83.4/day · avg $207
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$281
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first? | Ceasefire | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Gentner Drummond replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 5, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 1, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Politics 100% +$155
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during the next White House press briefing? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump name "Keir" or "Starmer" in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 99% +$132
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on April 20? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Esports 100% +$113
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 2? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 1? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$96
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Jordan Faeth get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,280 on April 19, 12AM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin above 75,200 on April 19, 12PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin above 76,600 on April 19, 7AM ET? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,320 on April 19, 12PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,385 on April 19, 11AM ET? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,300 on April 18, 11PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,305 on April 19, 6AM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,325 on April 19, 5AM ET? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Tech 100% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Tesla dip to $375 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will MrBeast say "Tesla" or "Lamborghini" during his next video? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 10? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of March 30 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| KHL: Traktor vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | Traktor | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 100% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? | Odd | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "The Secret Agent" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Voter ID" during Cabinet meeting on March 26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Fátima Tardío win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $24,000 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bondar vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bondar vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 23.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,800 (HIGH) in March 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 17? | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will S&P Global say "ESG" or "Sustainable" during earnings call? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars | Southern Jaguars | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 98% $-315
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | Elena Rybakina | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Nuggets | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Other 98% $-4,596
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jasmine Paolini win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Kirk Cousins play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will any Premier League club reach 90 points? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Prince Andrew released by February 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Devo Anderson get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Clavicular charged again by June 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 19? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,000 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "See what happens" this week? (April 19) | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,997 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" this week on Truth Social? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,987 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2? | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,295 on April 19, 12AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2? | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,280 on April 19, 12AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $999 | 19/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,200 on April 19, 12PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $994 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-12 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $799 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Trump post "Ballroom" this week on Truth Social? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $799 | 19/04/2026 |
| FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $682 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $657 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $630 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $591 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $501 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $359 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $287 | 19/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,600 on April 19, 7AM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $245 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Two week" or "two-week" this week? (April 19) | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,320 on April 19, 12PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $160 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,400 on April 19, 11AM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $145 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,330 on April 18, 11PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $145 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,305 on April 19, 6AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,325 on April 19, 5AM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $139 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $134 | 19/04/2026 |
| FC Metz vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $115 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,370 on April 19, 1AM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $113 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,280 on April 19, 9AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,300 on April 18, 11PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $91 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,300 on April 19, 8AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $89 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,420 on April 18, 11PM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $68 | 19/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,385 on April 19, 9AM ET? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on April 19? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 19/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $58 | 19/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $53 | 19/04/2026 |