ludanto9

Other 67% +$35 $732 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	82¢	82¢	+$1	win
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	87¢	90¢	+$2	win
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?	No	75¢	100¢	+$17	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	17¢	44¢	+$74	win
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	52¢	66¢	+$11	win
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Crypto 0% $-4 $40 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	Yes	3¢	2¢	$-4	loss

Politics 60% $-6 $330 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?	No	66¢	55¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$30	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	No	92¢	100¢	+$9	win

Geopolitics 57% $-33 $438 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	90¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	95¢	99¢	+$4	win
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	73¢	94¢	+$14	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	87¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-40	loss