Win rate
32.1%
641 W / 1356 L
Total PnL
$82,741
realized $82,172 · unrealized $569
Portfolio
$569
volume $2,968,273
Predictions
2,863
40.3/day · avg $1,037
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Weather 26% +$44,852
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 80¢ | 93¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | Yes | 87¢ | 80¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 16? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 45% +$8,133
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Rob Font next? | No | 55¢ | 95¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 52¢ | 55¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 59¢ | 68¢ | +$2 | win |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 77¢ | 64¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 32¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 42¢ | 57¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 83¢ | 66¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026? | No | 88¢ | 68¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Rob Font next? | Yes | 43¢ | 5¢ | $-122 | loss |
Sports 45% +$4,652
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 30¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will Jack Della Maddalena be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? | No | 55¢ | 70¢ | $-6 | loss |
| T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Malawi vs Eswatini - Who wins the toss? | Eswatini | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Malawi vs Eswatini - Who wins the toss? | Malawi | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | win |
| Legends Cricket League: 1st Place vs 2nd Place - Who wins the toss? | 1st Place | 15¢ | 50¢ | +$59 | win |
| Legends Cricket League: 1st Place vs 2nd Place - Who wins the toss? | 2nd Place | 15¢ | 50¢ | +$40 | win |
| Legends Cricket League: 1st Place vs 2nd Place - Completed match? | Yes | 11¢ | 50¢ | $-50 | loss |
| T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Ghana vs Seychelles - Completed match? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-84 | loss |
Esports 41% +$818
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) | Leviatán Esports | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | win |
| Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions - Map 1 Winner | Esprit Shōnen | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner | Global Esports | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$178 | win |
| Game Handicap: Team Falcons PH (-1.5) vs Omega Esports (+1.5) | Omega Esports | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$119 | win |
| Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner | Team Secret | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Barbie Boys vs Chiefs Esports Club - Game 2 Winner | Barbie Boys | 11¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Barbie Boys vs Chiefs Esports Club - Game 1 Winner | Chiefs Esports Club | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Overwatch: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: AP.Bren vs Omega Esports - Game 1 Winner | AP.Bren | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Honor of Kings: XQG Esports Club vs WanZhen Esports Club - Game 3 Winner | WanZhen Esports Club | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
Economy 40% +$329
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? | No | 33¢ | 95¢ | +$48 | win |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Mentions 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran Nuke in 2025? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
Elections 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will CDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
Politics 40% $-55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37¢ | 39¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 1? | No | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
Crypto 22% $-114
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the fight end in a draw? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Dogecoin above $0.16 on July 11? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? | Down | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$55 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 24? | Up | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? | Up | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28? | Up | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Culture 38% $-231
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luke Combs release an album in 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30? | Yes | 17¢ | 46¢ | +$113 | win |
| Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30? | No | 26¢ | 54¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Will North West release an album by December 31? | Yes | 45¢ | 67¢ | $-229 | loss |
| Will North West release an album by December 31? | No | 38¢ | 33¢ | +$205 | win |
| Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will "Shrini's Dream - Live - Shakti" win Best Global Music Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Will "SEEIN' STARS - Turnstile" win Best Alternative Music Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will "Shrini's Dream - Live - Shakti" win Best Global Music Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 125k and 150k? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
Tech 17% $-1,113
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Metaloglobus București vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: O/U 4.5 | Over | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| FC Metaloglobus București vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: Both Teams to Score | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Will Tesla deliver 400000-450000 vehicles in Q2? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Jony Ive join Meta before August? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-901 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30,410 | $1,600 | 16/04/2026 |
| T20 Portugal Tri-Series: France vs Norway - Who wins the toss? | Norway | 10.0¢ | 100¢ | +$281 | $70 | 16/04/2026 |
| T20 Portugal Tri-Series: France vs Norway - Who wins the toss? | France | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$271 | $71 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 16? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $16,005 | 16/04/2026 |
| T20 Portugal Tri-Series: France vs Norway - Team Top Batter Norway Winner | Yes | 90.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,600 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,597 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,597 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 16? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-15,989 | $16,005 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,597 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,597 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,597 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,597 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,597 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,597 | 16/04/2026 |
| T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden - Completed match? | No | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $31 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 15? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on April 15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) | Leviatán Esports | 10.0¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 6.5 | Under | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Norway vs France - Who wins the toss? | France | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $46 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions - Map 1 Winner | Esprit Shōnen | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $43 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner | Global Esports | 10.0¢ | 100¢ | +$178 | $44 | 11/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: Team Falcons PH (-1.5) vs Omega Esports (+1.5) | Omega Esports | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$119 | $33 | 11/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Elevate vs Team Orchid - Game 2 Winner | Team Orchid | 10.1¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $27 | 11/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Elevate vs Team Orchid - Game 1 Winner | Team Orchid | 12.1¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $69 | 11/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Elevate vs Team Orchid - Game 1 Winner | Elevate | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | +$25 | $56 | 11/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Elevate vs Team Orchid - Game 2 Winner | Elevate | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $31 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner | Team Secret | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $67 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 11? | No | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $34 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 9? | No | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 7? | Yes | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $24 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Sale Sharks win? | No | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | $95 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 5? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Barbie Boys vs Chiefs Esports Club - Game 1 Winner | Barbie Boys | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | +$34 | $27 | 05/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Barbie Boys vs Chiefs Esports Club - Game 1 Winner | Chiefs Esports Club | 10.4¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $29 | 05/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 11.2¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $23 | 05/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | +$21 | $34 | 05/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Barbie Boys vs Chiefs Esports Club - Game 2 Winner | Barbie Boys | 10.7¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | $21 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 5? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 5? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Sale Sharks win? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $133 | 05/04/2026 |