Win rate
87.3%
138 W / 20 L
Total PnL
$4,248
realized $3,314 · unrealized $934
Portfolio
$934
volume $343,105
Predictions
161
2.7/day · avg $2,131
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 79% +$3,934
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1,094 | loss |
| Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-374 | loss |
| Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$476 | win |
| Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1,362 | win |
Politics 83% +$712
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$497 | win |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | win |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will Sorry Baby be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Sports 97% +$545
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros | St. Louis Cardinals | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | Los Angeles Angels | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | Tampa Bay Rays | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 100% +$527
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Round Pool D: Dominican Rep. vs. Netherlands | Dominican Rep. | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$215 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Nicaragua | Netherlands | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$252 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Netherlands | Venezuela | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$392
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israel | Israel | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Dominican Rep. | Dominican Rep. | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$223 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Israel | Venezuela | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Tech 100% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
Culture 71% $-149
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025) | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025) | Yes | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
Other 81% $-1,583
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | No | 91¢ | 74¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 96¢ | 92¢ | +$83 | win |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Rico | Italy | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea | Dominican Rep. | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 20? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italy | Italy | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$360 | win |
| First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia | Japan | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will Korea win Pool C at the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | St. Louis Cardinals | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $927 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $194 | 15/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago Cubs | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $1,725 | 14/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $195 | 14/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,030 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $1,307 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $1,033 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $1,210 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 99¢ | +$26 | $1,327 | 12/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $357 | 12/04/2026 |
| New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants | New York Mets | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $318 | 12/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Los Angeles Dodgers | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $375 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | $-50 | $295 | 12/04/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox | San Diego Padres | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 11/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Atlanta Braves | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $1,322 | 10/04/2026 |
| New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $591 | 10/04/2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,321 | 10/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $350 | 10/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $130 | 10/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $499 | 08/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners | New York Yankees | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $383 | 08/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | Pittsburgh Pirates | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $486 | 07/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Washington Nationals | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $411 | 06/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins | Chicago White Sox | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 06/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles | Minnesota Twins | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $380 | 04/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $304 | 04/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants | New York Yankees | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $477 | 03/04/2026 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$275 | $4,609 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | $5,387 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $2,244 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $1,100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $1,466 | 31/03/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Cleveland Guardians | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $199 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 31/03/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Colorado Rockies | Detroit Tigers | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $121 | 31/03/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Angels | 90.7¢ | 50¢ | $-38 | $82 | 31/03/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Athletics | Athletics | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $306 | 28/03/2026 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $419 | 28/03/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs | Cincinnati Reds | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $332 | 28/03/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians | Seattle Mariners | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $437 | 28/03/2026 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $308 | 28/03/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $220 | 27/03/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners | San Diego Padres | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $744 | 24/03/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies | Seattle Mariners | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,120 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 96.1¢ | 92¢ | +$83 | $3,072 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 87.1¢ | 0¢ | $-374 | $2,489 | 22/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Rico | Italy | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $1,465 | 21/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea | Dominican Rep. | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $5,565 | 20/03/2026 |