Win rate
44.0%
11 W / 14 L
Total PnL
$259
realized $-245 · unrealized $504
Portfolio
$504
volume $497,891
Predictions
66
2.5/day · avg $7,544
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$146
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | +$3 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$142 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 50% +$70
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 31¢ | 22¢ | +$58 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 4¢ | $-5 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 62¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 17¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | loss |
Mentions 83% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
Finance 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | Up | 40¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Crypto 25% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 52¢ | 51¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Up | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.75 and 3 million views in the first week? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 0% $-71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 52¢ | 52¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5 | Over | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Recent Trades (27)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $399 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 91.7¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $92 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | $136 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $76 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $156 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $148 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Up | 53.6¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week? | Yes | 63.7¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $164 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.75 and 3 million views in the first week? | Yes | 25.7¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4? | Yes | 51.3¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $60 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9AM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | Yes | 39.7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $210 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $81 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 76.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $260 | 31/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? | Up | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $80 | 30/03/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $52 | 29/03/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 75.0¢ | 62¢ | +$0 | $73 | 22/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | +$142 | $2,232 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 81.6¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $5,587 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 29.6¢ | 4¢ | $-5 | $97 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April? | Yes | 17.1¢ | 20¢ | $-0 | $69 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 51.5¢ | 51¢ | $-1 | $100 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 52.0¢ | 52¢ | $-2 | $100 | 31/07/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 30.6¢ | 22¢ | +$58 | $5,490 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.6¢ | 8¢ | +$3 | $110 | 07/11/2028 |