Win rate
40.5%
15 W / 22 L
Total PnL
$-51
realized $-1,004 · unrealized $953
Portfolio
$953
volume $244,360
Predictions
51
2.3/day · avg $4,791
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/03/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Politics 44% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 76¢ | 73¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 25% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 38% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 83¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
Other 42% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
Economy 33% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $1,381 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,275 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,256 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,713 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $57 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $106 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $970 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $2,606 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $885 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $29 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 97.0¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $950 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 97¢ | +$6 | $880 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,276 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $73 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | $33 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $28 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.1¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $943 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $2,636 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 97.4¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | $943 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $81 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $22 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $3,553 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22.1¢ | 25¢ | +$9 | $686 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $955 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $22 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $794 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $864 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $956 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $956 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 82.9¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | $1,829 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.2¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $956 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7.4¢ | 7¢ | $-2 | $148 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 91.5¢ | 96¢ | +$11 | $861 | 29/07/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 4¢ | $-18 | $115 | 29/07/2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $691 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $955 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $862 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $953 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $37 | 09/12/2026 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $855 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 96.9¢ | 97¢ | $-13 | $2,787 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $96 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.9¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $943 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $1,275 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.7¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $3,394 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $21 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,739 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $75 | 07/11/2028 |