LBZone

Geopolitics 66% +$28,557 $1,929,916 vol · 234 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	19¢	18¢	$-24	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	85¢	84¢	$-389	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	15¢	16¢	+$389	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	8¢	9¢	+$1,406	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91¢	91¢	+$595	win
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	86¢	86¢	+$5	win
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	14¢	10¢	+$-0	—
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	84¢	90¢	+$4,258	win
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	6¢	6¢	+$0	—
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	93¢	94¢	+$28	win

Other 60% +$13,147 $6,803,279 vol · 3611 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	75¢	74¢	$-21	loss
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	94¢	100¢	$-60	loss
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	34¢	0¢	+$15	win
Will Plasma dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	No	100¢	100¢	+$13	win
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	86¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	35¢	16¢	$-11	loss
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	53¢	6¢	$-24	loss
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	63¢	18¢	$-18	loss

Esports 67% +$3,435 $382,384 vol · 309 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5	Over	45¢	44¢	+$27	win
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	75¢	76¢	$-299	loss
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	DRX	54¢	56¢	$-52	loss
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	30¢	16¢	+$192	win
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Global Esports	46¢	44¢	+$94	win
LoL: EKO Esports vs StoneHenge Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	StoneHenge Esports	28¢	0¢	$-385	loss
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Cloud9	69¢	82¢	$-21	loss
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5	Under	53¢	56¢	+$5	win
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Vici Gaming	35¢	34¢	$-3	loss
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	31¢	32¢	+$8	win

Sports 54% +$1,327 $2,130,081 vol · 2027 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	91¢	88¢	$-4	loss
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	34¢	46¢	+$177	win
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Toronto Blue Jays	43¢	44¢	+$77	win
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	60¢	62¢	$-12	loss
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros	St. Louis Cardinals	42¢	46¢	+$88	win
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics	Athletics	58¢	58¢	$-18	loss
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	55¢	55¢	$-82	loss
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics	Chicago White Sox	42¢	42¢	+$13	win
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	74¢	74¢	$-8	loss

Tech 51% +$357 $570,871 vol · 373 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 15?	Down	48¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 14?	Down	40¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 14?	Down	45¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 14?	Down	49¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	48¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	50¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 9?	Down	47¢	0¢	$-141	loss
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	No	70¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will FC Metaloglobus București vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
FC Metaloglobus București vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: O/U 2.5	Under	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Economy 50% $-654 $148,513 vol · 167 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	No	91¢	88¢	$-2	loss
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Giulio Zeppieri	Giulio Zeppieri	25¢	0¢	$-381	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-154	loss
US recession in 2025?	No	77¢	100¢	+$112	win
US recession in 2025?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Will Japan’s December 2025 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-198	loss
Will Japan’s December 2025 unemployment rate be 2.2%?	No	100¢	100¢	$-100	loss
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	76¢	0¢	$-459	loss
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-35	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$15	win

Culture 55% $-2,409 $141,054 vol · 143 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marcel Reed win the 2025–2026 Davey O'Brien Award?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Joao Lucas Da Silva	52¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Pedro Boscardin Dias	46¢	0¢	$-278	loss
Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Alex Rybakov	45¢	0¢	$-648	loss
Tallahassee: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Pedro Boscardin Dias	45¢	100¢	+$125	win
Tallahassee: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Genaro Alberto Olivieri	55¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Campinas: Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias	Pedro Boscardin Dias	27¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alvaro Guillen Meza	Pedro Boscardin Dias	51¢	100¢	+$685	win
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alvaro Guillen Meza	Alvaro Guillen Meza	48¢	0¢	+$9	win
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Murkel Dellien	Murkel Dellien	44¢	0¢	$-550	loss

Finance 51% $-3,565 $112,002 vol · 185 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	93¢	84¢	+$0	—
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	68¢	100¢	$-43	loss
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirstea	Anna Bondar	30¢	0¢	$-822	loss
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Anna Bondar	50¢	100¢	+$630	win
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Oleksandra Oliynykova	49¢	0¢	$-1,034	loss
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Marat Sharipov	Yunchaokete Bu	64¢	100¢	$-93	loss
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Marat Sharipov	Marat Sharipov	35¢	0¢	$-267	loss
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Harmony Tan vs Anna Bondar	Harmony Tan	24¢	0¢	$-380	loss
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Janice Tjen vs Anna Bondar	Janice Tjen	32¢	50¢	+$49	win
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Janice Tjen vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	58¢	50¢	$-221	loss

Mentions 32% $-7,156 $270,865 vol · 442 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-3,165	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-684	loss
Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 54% $-8,440 $793,305 vol · 661 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2¢	1¢	+$0	—
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	96¢	99¢	+$-0	—
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	45¢	40¢	+$22	win
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	27¢	56¢	+$0	—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	78¢	48¢	+$5	win
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	20¢	52¢	+$5	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	13¢	16¢	+$0	—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	51¢	55¢	$-8	loss
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	13¢	16¢	+$0	win
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win

Weather 66% $-10,481 $699,754 vol · 479 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	87¢	90¢	+$47	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	50¢	81¢	+$31	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	St. Johns Red Storm	28¢	0¢	+$220	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	72¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 25?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 10?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 4?	No	100¢	100¢	+$14	win
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)	St. Johns Red Storm	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 3?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Politics 52% $-44,530 $2,094,964 vol · 1769 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	96¢	98¢	+$-0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	45¢	61¢	+$-0	—
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10¢	4¢	$-347	loss
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	54¢	39¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	92¢	94¢	+$52	win
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	86¢	88¢	+$31	win
Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?	Yes	31¢	16¢	$-12	loss
Oeiras 3: Jurij Rodionov vs Billy Harris	Jurij Rodionov	68¢	100¢	+$356	win
Oeiras 3: Jurij Rodionov vs Billy Harris	Billy Harris	31¢	0¢	+$14	win
Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Billy Harris	Dino Prizmic	79¢	100¢	$-18	loss

Crypto 64% $-76,159 $1,776,229 vol · 901 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	48¢	17¢	+$0	—
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	8¢	0¢	$-67	loss
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	89¢	86¢	$-5	loss
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	80¢	51¢	+$1	win
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	5¢	2¢	+$0	—
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	38¢	0¢	+$188	win
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn	Cameron Norrie	63¢	100¢	$-67	loss
Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn	Reilly Opelka	39¢	0¢	+$220	win