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Geopolitics 100% +$6 $128 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 67% +$3 $970 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Crypto 100% +$0 $118 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 0% $-8 $7,809 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	100¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	100¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Other 20% $-13 $17,572 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	$-9	loss
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?	No	53¢	100¢	+$59	win
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?	No	79¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Maximus Jones vs. Tom Gentzsch: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	51¢	50¢	$-2	loss
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-08?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$84	win

Politics 0% $-30 $25,614 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	40¢	100¢	$-6	loss

Sports 11% $-1,832 $37,162 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100¢	99¢	$-3	loss
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Celtics vs. Hornets	Hornets	50¢	0¢	$-1,605	loss
Oilers vs. Blues	Blues	42¢	100¢	+$102	win
Bruins vs. Capitals	Bruins	47¢	100¢	+$73	win
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	66¢	100¢	+$32	win
Cavaliers vs. Magic	Magic	43¢	100¢	+$85	win
Rangers vs. Flyers	Flyers	58¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Canadiens vs. Ducks	Canadiens	50¢	0¢	$-84	loss